Ligue 1
Le Havre - Monaco
01/24/2026, 06:00 PM
预期进球
1.5
3.5
1.9
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
23%
平局
37%
客胜
40%
进球数
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
72%
Over 3.5
48%
双重机会
主胜或平局
60%
客胜或平局
77%
非平局
63%
双方进球
是
68%
否
32%
关键因素
- Battle of the out-of-form: Monaco's four consecutive losses (WLWWW) meet Le Havre's inconsistent form (LDLWD), making for an unpredictable match
- Defensive contrasts: Le Havre's strong home defense (0.75 goals conceded/game) faces Monaco's potent but inconsistent away attack, which in turn relies on a very vulnerable defense (2.5 goals conceded/game away)
- Numerous absences: Both teams are heavily weakened by injuries and suspensions, with Monaco missing the creativity of T. Minamino, while Le Havre must do without key defensive players like G. Lloris and goalkeeper M. Diaw
风险因素
- Monaco's disastrous away defense: Conceding an average of 2.5 goals per away game makes them extremely vulnerable, undermining their on-paper favorite status
- Contradictory goal statistics: The high predicted goals (3.45 total) conflict with the venue's history of low-scoring games (1.4 average) and both teams' recent goal droughts
- Historical head-to-head: Monaco is unbeaten against Le Havre in the last five meetings (2 wins, 3 draws), which contrasts with their current disastrous form
概述
Le Havre, in 14th place with 19 points, hosts Monaco, who are in 9th place with 23 points. The Ligue 1 match will take place on January 24, 2026, at 7:00 PM at the Stade Océane. Both teams are in a crisis of form and are looking to end their negative trend.
近期状态
Both teams are struggling with their form. Le Havre (Form: LDLWD) has won only one of their last five games, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Monaco (Form: WLWWW) comes into this match with four consecutive defeats. Their record from the last five games is 1 win and 4 losses, indicating a significant slump in form. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Monaco has been more potent offensively throughout the season, averaging 1.56 goals per game compared to Le Havre's 0.89. However, Monaco's defense is more vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.83 goals, while Le Havre is at 1.33. Le Havre's defensive strength at home is particularly noteworthy, allowing only 0.75 goals per game. In contrast, Monaco's defense is very weak away from home, with 2.5 goals conceded per game. The Stade Océane averages only 1.4 goals per game.
历史交锋
In the last five direct encounters, Le Havre has failed to win against Monaco. Monaco won twice, while three matches ended in a draw. The goal difference from these meetings is 8-4 in favor of Monaco. The last encounter in August 2025 was won by Monaco 3-1.
关键球员
For Le Havre, midfielder Rassoul Ndiaye is a key creative player who has contributed 3 goals and 3 assists this season and is in rising form. For Monaco, striker Folarin Balogun is a central figure in attack with 4 seasonal goals. He is supported by Aleksandr Golovin, who is also in good form and has scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist this season.
门将
For Le Havre, Lionel Mpasi-Nzau will be in goal, having made only one appearance this season. Monaco's goal will be kept by Philipp Köhn. He has made 12 appearances this season, and the team has kept 2 clean sheets with him.
影响因素
The Stade Océane is not a venue for high-scoring games, with an average of just 1.4 goals per game in recent matches. Le Havre's home defense is very solid, conceding only 0.75 goals per game. Monaco, on the other hand, has significant defensive issues away from home, conceding an average of 2.5 goals. Both teams are accustomed to the natural grass surface at the stadium.