Ligue 1
Lorient - Nantes
01/31/2026, 06:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.5
1.1
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
42%
平局
31%
客胜
27%
进球数
Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
24%
双重机会
主胜或平局
73%
客胜或平局
58%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
63%
否
37%
关键因素
- Drastic form difference: Lorient is unbeaten in 5 matches, while Nantes has lost 4 of their last 5 games.
- Defensive stability at home: Lorient has massively improved its defense, conceding an average of only 0.5 goals in recent games, compared to a season average of 1.67.
- Home strength vs. away weakness: Lorient is strong at home (only 1.07 goals conceded/game), whereas Nantes is very vulnerable on the road (1.62 goals conceded/game).
风险因素
- Historical record: Despite their current form crisis, Nantes has dominated recent head-to-head encounters (3 wins in 5 games).
- Venue trend: The high 80% rate for 'Both teams to score' at the Stade Yves Allainmat could give Nantes a chance to get into the game, even as underdogs.
概述
Lorient (9th place, 25 points) hosts Nantes (16th place, 14 points) at the Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir. The Ligue 1 match takes place on January 31, 2026, at 7:00 PM. Lorient aims to solidify their mid-table position, while Nantes desperately needs points in their relegation battle.
近期状态
Lorient is in excellent form, being unbeaten in their last five matches (WDDWW), with 3 wins and 2 draws. In contrast, Nantes is in a form crisis, having lost four of their last five games (LLWLL), with only one win. The form advantage is clearly with the home team. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Lorient is slightly stronger offensively, averaging 1.26 goals per game compared to Nantes' 0.95. Defensively, Nantes is more vulnerable with 1.79 goals conceded per game, versus Lorient's 1.58. At home, Lorient is particularly solid defensively, conceding only 1.07 goals on average, while Nantes concedes 1.62 goals on the road.
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Nantes has had the upper hand. Lorient has won only 1 match, while Nantes has won 3, and 1 game ended in a draw. The goal difference from Lorient's perspective is 7:10. The last match finished 1-1. Recent history thus favors the visitors.
关键球员
For Lorient, Pablo Pagis with 5 season goals and Sambou Soumano with 4 goals are the main scorers. Jean-Victor Makengo is in good form, having scored 2 goals in his last five games. For Nantes, Matthis Abline, Youssef El Arabi, and Mostafa Mohamed have each scored 3 goals this season.
门将
Lorient's goalkeeper, Yvon Mvogo, has kept 4 clean sheets this season. Nantes' Anthony Lopes has 3 clean sheets. According to the data, Mvogo's form trend is rising, while Lopes' is described as declining.
影响因素
The stadium has a very high rate of 80% for matches where both teams score. At the same time, only 20% of matches have ended with over 2.5 goals, with an average of 2.2 goals per game. Lorient has a positive record on their home artificial turf with 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses.