Ligue 1
Angers SCO - Metz
02/01/2026, 04:15 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.4
1.0
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
43%
平局
29%
客胜
28%
进球数
Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
31%
双重机会
主胜或平局
72%
客胜或平局
57%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- Defensive Mismatch: Metz's catastrophic away defense (2.73 goals conceded per game) meets Angers' solid home defense (0.92)
- Form Discrepancy: Metz is winless in five games (LLDLL), while Angers has a better starting position with the form WWLLD
- Home Strength vs. Away Weakness: Angers is significantly more stable at home, while Metz regularly concedes many goals on the road
风险因素
- Angers' attacking absences: Despite compensation, players responsible for 35% of the season's goals are missing, which could affect their finishing
- Recent attacking trend: According to advanced stats, both teams have been scoring more recently than their season average, which could lead to an unexpectedly open game
概述
Angers SCO, in 11th place in the table with 23 points, host Metz, who are in 18th place with 12 points, at the Stade Raymond Kopa
This Ligue 1 match takes place on February 1, 2026, at 5:15 PM
For Angers, the goal is to solidify their mid-table position, while Metz desperately needs points in the relegation battle
近期状态
Angers SCO form: WWLLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
In the last five games, there have been 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Metz form: LLDLL
Metz has failed to win any of their last five games, with 1 draw and 4 losses
The form curve is clearly against the visitors
统计数据
Offensively, both teams are almost level, with Angers scoring 1.05 goals per game and Metz 1.11
The crucial difference is in defense: Angers concedes an average of 1.32 goals, while Metz has one of the weakest defenses in the league with 2.37 goals conceded per game
Metz is particularly vulnerable away, conceding an average of 2.73 goals per game
Angers is defensively solid at home, conceding only 0.92 goals per game
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, the record is balanced
Angers SCO won 2 times, Metz won 1 time, and 2 matches ended in a draw
The goal difference is 6:5 in favor of Angers
The last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw
关键球员
Sidiki Chérif has scored 4 goals for Angers this season
Yassin Belkhdim has contributed 2 goals and 2 assists
For Metz, Gauthier Hein is the standout player with 6 goals and 4 assists
Habib Diallo has scored 4 goals this season and is showing rising form
门将
In goal for Angers SCO is Hervé Koffi, who has kept 6 clean sheets this season
For Metz, Jonathan Fischer is the goalkeeper, he has achieved 3 clean sheets
影响因素
The home advantage for Angers is statistically significant, as they concede an average of only 0.92 goals at home
Metz is extremely weak away, conceding an average of 2.73 goals
The Stade Raymond Kopa is also a venue for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.8 goals in recent matches