Ligue 1
Toulouse - Auxerre
02/01/2026, 04:15 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.9
1.4
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
42%
平局
31%
客胜
27%
进球数
Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
38%
双重机会
主胜或平局
73%
客胜或平局
58%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- Extreme contrast: Toulouse's strong offense meets Auxerre's catastrophic away defense, which concedes an average of 3.4 goals per game
- Form advantage: Toulouse comes with 4 wins from 5 games, while Auxerre is on a 4-game losing streak
- Home strength vs. away weakness: Toulouse is consistently dangerous at home, while Auxerre is toothless in attack and crumbles defensively on the road
风险因素
- Last duel: Despite the poor overall record, Auxerre won the last head-to-head meeting, suggesting psychological potential
- Stadium trend: Recent games at Toulouse's stadium have been uncharacteristically low-scoring, contradicting the expectation of a high-scoring match
- Absence of key players: Toulouse is missing an important goalscorer in Frank Magri, which could weaken their offense
概述
Toulouse, in 8th place with 29 points, hosts Auxerre, who are in 17th place with 12 points
The Ligue 1 match will take place on February 1, 2026, at 5:15 PM at the Stadium de Toulouse
Toulouse aims to solidify their position in the upper mid-table, while Auxerre urgently needs points in the relegation battle
近期状态
Toulouse is in excellent form with a record of WWLWW from their last five games, which corresponds to 4 wins and 1 loss
Auxerre, on the other hand, is in a crisis with the form WLLLL, having lost their last 4 consecutive matches
The form curve clearly favors the home team
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Toulouse is significantly stronger offensively, scoring an average of 1.63 goals per game compared to Auxerre's 0.74
Defensively, Toulouse is more stable with 1.21 goals conceded per game, while Auxerre concedes 1.53
Auxerre's away weakness is particularly severe, having conceded 17 goals in 5 away games, an average of 3.4 per match
Toulouse scores an average of 1.58 goals per game at home
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Toulouse has the edge with 2 wins, while Auxerre has recorded 1 victory, and 2 matches ended in a draw
The goal difference is clearly in favor of Toulouse at 10:4
However, Auxerre won the last meeting 1-0
关键球员
Yann Gboho is a key figure for Toulouse with 6 goals and 4 assists this season
Santiago Hidalgo has contributed 4 goals and 2 assists
For Auxerre, Lassine Sinayoko is the most dangerous player with 6 goals and 2 assists to his name
门将
Toulouse's goalkeeper Guillaume Restes has kept 7 clean sheets in 19 season appearances
Donovan Léon in goal for Auxerre has managed 3 clean sheets in 17 appearances
影响因素
Toulouse shows a solid home record, averaging 1.58 goals scored and 1.25 goals conceded per game
However, the last five matches at the Stadium de Toulouse have been rather low-scoring, with an average of 2.2 goals per game
Both teams scored in only 20% of these home games