Ligue 1
Brest - Lorient
02/07/2026, 06:00 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.3
1.1
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
36%
平局
33%
客胜
31%
进球数
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
22%
双重机会
主胜或平局
69%
客胜或平局
64%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Contrast in form: Lorient is unbeaten in 5 games, whereas Brest has only managed 1 win in their last 5 matches
- Defensive stability is key: Lorient's defense has improved significantly recently (0.75 goals conceded on average), while Brest's home defense is solid (1.18 goals)
- Low-scoring venue: In the last 5 matches at Stade Francis-Le Ble, both teams scored in only 20% of the games
风险因素
- Deceptive away form: Despite their winning streak, Lorient has conceded an average of 3.0 goals per away game this season
- Home pressure for Brest: The poor run of form could put Brest under pressure at home, potentially leading to errors
概述
Brest (12th place, 23 points) hosts Lorient (9th place, 28 points) at the Stade Francis-Le Ble
近期状态
Lorient is in significantly better form, unbeaten in their last five matches (3 wins, 2 draws)
统计数据
Both teams are similarly potent offensively (Brest 1.3 goals/game, Lorient 1.35 goals/game)
历史交锋
The historical record is perfectly balanced with 2 wins for each team and 1 draw in the last 5 encounters
关键球员
For Brest, Romain Del Castillo (7 season goals) and Ludovic Ajorque (6 season assists) are crucial
门将
Grégoire Coudert (Brest) and his team have kept 5 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The stadium is historically low-scoring, with an average of only 2.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches