Ligue 1
Metz - LOSC Lille
02/06/2026, 07:45 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.5
1.4
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
25%
平局
30%
客胜
45%
进球数
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
25%
双重机会
主胜或平局
55%
客胜或平局
75%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- Metz's defensive weakness: The hosts have the worst defense in the league with 46 goals conceded, a major disadvantage against Lille's attack
- Drastic difference in form: Although both teams are struggling, Metz's crisis is much deeper with no wins in their last games (LDLLL) compared to Lille
- Lille's historical dominance: The visitors are unbeaten in the last 5 head-to-head matches and won the last encounter 6-1
风险因素
- Lille's struggling offense: Despite being favorites, Lille has only scored 0.6 goals per game in recent matches, well below their season average of 1.6
- Extensive injury list: Lille has a long list of sidelined players, including key figures like N. Bentaleb and E. Mbappé, which could affect their squad depth
概述
Metz, in 18th place in the table with 12 points, hosts LOSC Lille, 5th with 32 points, at the Stade Saint-Symphorien. The Ligue 1 match takes place on February 6, 2026, at 8:45 PM. For Metz, it's about crucial points in the relegation battle, while Lille aims to solidify its position in the top third of the table.
近期状态
Metz (Form: LDLLL) has not secured a victory in their last five matches, with one draw and four losses. LOSC Lille (Form: LLLWL) has managed only one win in their last five games, losing four. Both teams are in a crisis of form. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
LOSC Lille is significantly more dangerous offensively, averaging 1.7 goals per game compared to Metz's 1.05. Defensively, Lille is also more stable with 1.5 goals conceded per game, while Metz has the league's worst defense, conceding 2.3 goals. Away from home, Lille scores an average of 1.7 goals, while Metz averages only 1 goal at home.
历史交锋
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Metz has failed to win. LOSC Lille won three of these matches, while two ended in a draw. The goal difference of 13:5 is clearly in favor of the visitors. The last meeting ended in a decisive 6-1 victory for Lille.
关键球员
For Metz, Gauthier Hein (6 season goals, 4 assists) and Habib Diallo (4 season goals) are the key figures in attack. For LOSC Lille, Håkon Arnar Haraldsson with 5 season goals and Olivier Giroud with 4 goals are the most important forwards.
门将
Metz's goalkeeper Jonathan Fischer has kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches. Berke Özer of LOSC Lille has kept 5 clean sheets in 18 appearances.
影响因素
The Stade Saint-Symphorien has recently been a venue for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.6 goals per match and a 60% rate for Over 2.5 goals. On natural grass, Metz has a home record of 3 wins and 7 losses this season. LOSC Lille has a balanced away record on this surface with 5 wins and 5 losses.