Ligue 1
Nantes - Olympique Lyonnais
02/07/2026, 08:05 PM
预期进球
1.1
3.0
1.9
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
22%
平局
21%
客胜
57%
进球数
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
39%
双重机会
主胜或平局
43%
客胜或平局
78%
非平局
79%
双方进球
是
68%
否
32%
关键因素
- Massive form gap: Lyon arrives with five consecutive wins, while Nantes has lost four of their last five matches
- Statistical superiority: Lyon is superior in all areas, both offensively (1.65 goals/game vs. 0.95) and defensively (1.0 goals conceded/game vs. 1.8)
- Historical dominance & Surface: Lyon has won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matches and is undefeated away on natural grass, while Nantes struggles significantly at home on the same surface
风险因素
- Home goal risk: Nantes' stadium is known for goals (80% BTTS rate), suggesting Nantes might score despite their poor form
- Potential complacency: As clear favorites on a winning streak, Lyon might underestimate an opponent in a relegation battle
- Tactical aspect: Lyon is dominant in possession, which could open up counter-attacking opportunities for Nantes if Lyon's defense is unfocused
概述
Nantes, in 16th place with 14 points, hosts Olympique Lyonnais, 4th with 39 points, at the Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau. The Ligue 1 match takes place on February 7, 2026, at 9:05 PM. For Nantes, it's about crucial points in the relegation battle, while Lyon aims to keep pace with the top of the table.
近期状态
The form curves of the two teams could hardly be more different
Nantes has a form of LWLLL, which corresponds to one win and four losses in their last five games
Olympique Lyonnais arrives with a perfect record of WWWWW, having won their last five matches
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
The season statistics show a clear superiority of Olympique Lyonnais
Lyon scores an average of 1.65 goals per game, while Nantes only manages 0.95
Defensively, Lyon is also more stable with an average of 1.0 goal conceded, compared to 1.8 for Nantes
Lyon has kept 10 clean sheets, while Nantes has only managed 3
At the Stade de la Beaujoire, there's an average of 3.0 goals per game, and in 80% of cases, both teams scored.
历史交锋
In direct comparison, Olympique Lyonnais clearly dominates
In the last five encounters, there were four wins for Lyon and one draw
Nantes has not won a single match
The goal difference of 10:2 in favor of Lyon underscores this superiority
The last duel ended in a 3-0 victory for Lyon.
关键球员
For Nantes, Matthis Abline is a key offensive player with 4 goals and 2 assists
Mostafa Mohamed has also contributed with 3 season goals
For Lyon, Pavel Sulc is the top scorer with 8 season goals
Afonso Moreira has provided 5 assists as a playmaker, while Endrick has recorded 3 goals and 1 assist in just 3 games.
门将
In goal for Nantes is Anthony Lopes, who has kept 3 clean sheets this season
For Lyon, Dominik Greif is expected; his team has already kept a clean sheet 10 times this season.
影响因素
Nantes has a very poor record on natural grass with only one win and seven losses
Olympique Lyonnais, on the other hand, is undefeated in 10 games on this surface (9 wins, 1 draw)
The Stade de la Beaujoire is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.0 goals per match and an 80% rate for both teams to score.