Ligue 1
Le Havre - Strasbourg
02/08/2026, 04:15 PM
预期进球
1.4
3.2
1.8
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
27%
平局
25%
客胜
48%
进球数
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
71%
Over 3.5
46%
双重机会
主胜或平局
52%
客胜或平局
73%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
62%
否
38%
关键因素
- Strasbourg's attack (1.65 goals/game) is significantly superior to Le Havre's weak offense (0.8 goals/game)
- The form trend clearly favors the visitors, who arrive with three wins from five games, while Le Havre has only managed one
- Strasbourg's attackers like Joaquín Panichelli and Martial Godo are in scoring mood and can make the difference despite any absences
风险因素
- The goal prediction (3.21 expected goals) strongly contradicts the low-scoring history of the stadium (1.2 goals on average)
- Strasbourg is fielding a weakened attack, with only 70% of their season's goal threat available
- Le Havre's strong home defense (only 0.64 goals conceded/game) could neutralize Strasbourg's favored attack
概述
Le Havre, in 15th place with 20 points, hosts Strasbourg, who are 7th with 30 points, at the Stade Océane
The Ligue 1 match takes place on February 8, 2026, at 5:15 PM
Strasbourg aims to stay in touch with the European spots, while Le Havre is fighting for crucial points against relegation
近期状态
Le Havre: LWDDL - 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 games
Strasbourg: WDWWL - 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in the last 5 games
Strasbourg shows significantly stronger form than Le Havre, although both teams lost their last match
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Offensively, Strasbourg is clearly superior with an average of 1.65 goals per game compared to Le Havre's 0.8
Defensively, both teams are level with 1.25 goals conceded per game
Le Havre is very solid defensively at home, conceding only 0.64 goals per game on average
Strasbourg is dangerous away from home with 1.6 goals scored per game, but also vulnerable, conceding 1.8
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg has the edge with 3 wins to Le Havre's 2
The goal difference is 9-7 in favor of Strasbourg
The last encounter ended in a 1-0 victory for Strasbourg
关键球员
Rassoul Ndiaye has been a key factor in Le Havre's midfield with 3 goals and 3 assists this season, and his form is rising
Issa Soumaré has also contributed with 3 goals and 2 assists
For Strasbourg, Joaquín Panichelli is the top scorer with 11 goals this season
Martial Godo is in outstanding form, having scored 4 of his 5 seasonal goals in the last 5 matches
Julio Enciso has also been in great form recently, with 2 goals and 3 assists in his last five games
门将
Le Havre's goalkeeper is Mory Diaw; the team has kept 6 clean sheets this season
For Strasbourg, Mike Penders is in goal; his team has achieved 7 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The Stade Océane has recently been a low-scoring venue, with an average of just 1.2 goals per game
Both teams scored in 40% of the last few matches there
Le Havre has a negative record on natural grass (2 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses)
In contrast, Strasbourg has a positive record on this surface (5 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)