Ligue 1
Lens - Rennes
02/07/2026, 04:00 PM
预期进球
1.9
3.2
1.3
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
52%
平局
27%
客胜
21%
进球数
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
42%
双重机会
主胜或平局
79%
客胜或平局
48%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
62%
否
38%
关键因素
- Defensive Gulf: Lens' rock-solid home defense (0.36 goals conceded/game) meets Rennes' extremely vulnerable away defense (2.86 goals conceded/game)
- Clear Form Advantage: Lens has won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Rennes has shown inconsistent performance in recent games
- Home Fortress: Lens is a force at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis, having won 8 of their 11 home matches this season
风险因素
- Historical Head-to-Head: Four of the last five meetings between these teams ended in a draw, which could suggest a tighter game than anticipated
- Low-Scoring Venue: The last five games at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis have averaged very few goals (1.6) and had zero instances of both teams scoring, conflicting with a high-scoring prediction
概述
A top-tier Ligue 1 clash takes place at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis as Lens (2nd place, 46 points) hosts Rennes (6th place, 31 points)
The match is scheduled for February 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM
Lens aims to maintain pressure at the top of the table, while Rennes is fighting to secure a spot in European competition
近期状态
Lens is in strong form with a record of LWWLW from their last five matches, translating to 4 wins and 1 loss
Rennes, on the other hand, shows inconsistent form with WLDWD, which amounts to 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
The form clearly favors the home team
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Lens averages 1.7 goals per game this season, while Rennes averages 1.5 goals
The crucial difference lies in defense: Lens is a fortress at home, conceding only 0.36 goals per game on average
In contrast, Rennes is extremely vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.86 goals per game
Lens has kept a clean sheet in 8 of 20 matches, compared to 5 for Rennes
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Lens has the upper hand with 1 win, while Rennes has failed to secure a victory, and 4 matches ended in a draw
The goal difference is very tight at 4:3 in favor of Lens
The last meeting ended in a 0-0 draw, indicating historically close contests
关键球员
For Lens, Wesley Saïd (8 season goals) and Odsonne Édouard (7 goals) are the key offensive players
Adrien Thomasson has contributed with 6 assists
For Rennes, the most dangerous attackers are Estéban Lepaul with 8 goals and Breel Embolo with 5 goals
Mousa Tamari and Quentin Merlin have each provided 3 assists
门将
Lens' goalkeeper, Robin Risser, has kept 8 clean sheets in 20 appearances this season
Brice Samba, in goal for Rennes, has managed 5 clean sheets in 20 matches
影响因素
The home advantage for Lens is significant, reflected by only 4 goals conceded in 11 home games
However, the venue's recent stats suggest a low-scoring affair, with an average of just 1.6 goals over the last five matches
Both teams are accustomed to a grass surface, with Lens having a record of 8 wins and 2 losses at home on it