Ligue 1
Auxerre - Paris
02/08/2026, 04:15 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.6
1.1
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
44%
平局
30%
客胜
26%
进球数
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
28%
双重机会
主胜或平局
74%
客胜或平局
56%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- Relegation battle dynamics: Both teams are under immense pressure and in poor form, which could lead to an error-prone match
- Defensive weakness vs. offensive weakness: Paris's vulnerable defense (1.7 goals conceded/game) meets Auxerre's toothless attack (0.7 goals/game)
- Home advantage for Auxerre: Despite their poor season record, Auxerre is significantly more stable defensively at home (0.86 goals conceded) than away
风险因素
- Low goal threat: Both teams have a very low average of shots on target per game (Auxerre 2.2, Paris 2.6), suggesting a low-scoring match
- Unpredictability due to form crisis: The poor form of both teams makes the outcome difficult to predict, as individual errors could decide the game
概述
In the Ligue 1 relegation battle, Auxerre (17th place, 13 points) hosts Paris (14th place, 21 points) at the Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
The match takes place on February 8, 2026, at 5:15 PM
Both teams are fighting for crucial points to move away from the relegation zone
近期状态
Both teams are in poor form, though Paris has been unbeaten recently
Auxerre: LLLLD - 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses
Paris: LLWDD - 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses
Auxerre has been without a win for at least five matches, while Paris has not lost in their last three games
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Paris has the more dangerous attack, while Auxerre is more defensively stable at home
Auxerre scores an average of 0.7 goals per game and concedes 1.45
Paris averages 1.3 goals per game and concedes 1.7
Particularly noteworthy is Auxerre's defensive strength at home, where they concede only 0.86 goals per game
In 13 of 20 games involving Paris, both teams scored
历史交锋
The historical record between the two teams is completely balanced
In the only head-to-head meeting so far, there was a draw
The match ended 1-1
Both teams scored one goal each
关键球员
Lassine Sinayoko is the key offensive player for Auxerre with 6 goals and 2 assists
He is supported by Danny Namaso, who has scored 2 goals
For Paris, Ilan Kebbal is the standout player with 8 season goals and 4 assists
Moses Simon has contributed 3 goals and 2 assists
门将
Both teams have achieved the same number of clean sheets this season
Auxerre's Donovan Léon has kept 4 clean sheets this season
Paris has also recorded 4 clean sheets, with Kevin Trapp and Obed Nkambadio sharing playing time
影响因素
The home advantage for Auxerre appears statistically limited
In the last five matches at the Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, there was an average of 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of the cases
Auxerre's record on natural grass is weak with only one win in 10 games (1W-1D-8L)
Paris's record on this surface is slightly better with 3 wins in 10 games