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Coppa Italia

Sassuolo - Frosinone

09/02/2026, 01:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Sassuolo
1.9
Total xG
2.8
Frosinone
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
SASFRO

Sassuolo

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.28倍)
+0.95
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.09
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.09
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.09
Armand Laurienté替补席 (7球, 9助攻)
Nemanja Matic替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
68%进球产出缺失 (仅40%可用)

Frosinone

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.06
防守不足 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.05
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

61%

平局

24%

客胜

15%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

双重机会

主胜或平局

85%

客胜或平局

39%

非平局

76%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Weakened home side: Only 40% of the usual goal threat is available with Armand Laurienté and Nemanja Matic missing from the lineup
  • Attacking metrics: Sassuolo averaged 6.0 shots on target per match recently compared to 3.8 for Frosinone
  • Model favorite: The mathematical analysis projects a 61% probability for a home win
风险因素
  • Squad setback: Midfielder R. Schmid is missing for Frosinone due to muscle fatigue
  • Sassuolo defensive vulnerability: The hosts conceded an average of 1.32 goals per match last season
  • Limited data availability: No head-to-head history is available in the provided dataset
概述

Sassuolo host Frosinone at the MAPEI Stadium

Coppa Italia match on September 2, 2026, 3:00 PM

The hosts enter this cup tie as favorites

近期状态

Sassuolo form is LLWLW following a 2-1 win against Torino

Frosinone form is WLWLW after a recent 3-0 win at Fiorentina

Form comparison shows a balanced record with victories in their last matches

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Sassuolo scored an average of 1.21 goals per game last season while conceding 1.32

Sassuolo improved their recent scoring rate to an average of 1.6 goals per game

Frosinone scored 4 goals in their single game of the current season

Matches at the MAPEI Stadium historically average 3.2 total goals per game

关键球员

Cristian Volpato shows rising form with 1 goal in his last 4 appearances

Kristian Thorstvedt remains stable with a rating of 6.84 over his last 2 games

Luca Lipani featured in 3 of the last 5 matches and shows positive development

门将

Stefano Turati starts in goal for Sassuolo, holding a venue average rating of 6.64

Sebastiano Desplanches is set to guard the goal for Frosinone

影响因素

Sassuolo has home advantage at the MAPEI Stadium on natural grass

High-scoring trend with 3.2 average goals in the last five home games

No weather data available for this matchday

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