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Coppa Italia

Torino - Monza

09/01/2026, 07:00 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Torino
1.4
Total xG
2.3
Monza
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

13%

0:0

12%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
TORMON

Torino

防守不足 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.45
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.03
Nikola Vlašić替补席 (8球, 3助攻)
Marcus Pedersen未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
54%进球产出缺失 (仅43%可用)

Monza

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.60
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

48%

平局

30%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

52%

非平局

70%

双方进球

是

45%

否

55%

关键因素
  • Only 43% of the home goal threat is available, with Nikola Vlašić and Marcus Pedersen missing
  • Torino averaged 3.2 shots on target in recent matches, compared to Monza's 3.8
  • The mathematical model calculates a 48% home win probability for Torino
风险因素
  • Both teams with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Torino recorded balanced possession (53%) with an average of only 3.2 shots on target in recent matches
  • Limited data on Monza's away form in the dataset
概述

Torino host Monza at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

Coppa Italia clash on September 1, 2026, 9:00 PM

A competitive cup fixture in Italy

近期状态

Torino form is LDWLL with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses

Monza form is LWLL with 1 win and 3 losses

Both teams suffered two consecutive losses in their recent games

统计数据

Torino scores an average of 1.16 goals and concedes 1.66 goals per season

Monza scored three goals and conceded zero in their single recorded match

Torino averages 1.17 goals scored and 1.26 goals conceded at home

Advanced stats show Torino averaging 1.29 goals per season and Monza averaging 1.5 goals

历史交锋

2 head-to-head matches in total

Torino has 1 win, Monza 0 wins and 1 draw

The last encounter ended in a 2-0 victory for Torino

关键球员

Giovanni Simeone scored 11 season goals with an average rating of 6.85

Defender Saúl Coco recorded 1 season goal and 1 assist with a rating of 6.88

Gvidas Gineitis has 1 assist this season with an improved recent rating of 7.02

门将

Lucas Perri guards the goal for Torino, who recorded 12 clean sheets this season

Demba Thiam starts in goal for Monza, who have 1 clean sheet so far

影响因素

The match is played on grass at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

The venue averages 3.0 goals per game over the last 5 matches

Both teams scored and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4 of the last 5 home games

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