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Coppa Italia

Cagliari - Hellas Verona

09/03/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Cagliari
1.2
Total xG
2.4
Hellas Verona
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

1:0

9%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
CAGHV

Cagliari

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.01
Michel Adopo替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Adam Obert替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
Alessandro Deiola替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
45%进球产出缺失 (仅25%可用)

Hellas Verona

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.01
Kieron Bowie未进大名单 (4球, 0助攻)
Antoine Bernede替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Martin Frese未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
Rafik Belghali未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
90%进球产出缺失 (仅14%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

35%

平局

31%

客胜

34%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

66%

客胜或平局

65%

非平局

69%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Only 26% of goal threat available for Cagliari, without Michel Adopo, Adam Obert, Alessandro Deiola
  • Only 14% of goal threat available for Hellas Verona, without Kieron Bowie, Antoine Bernede, Martin Frese, Rafik Belghali
  • Historical dominance: Cagliari are unbeaten in the last 4 head-to-heads (3 wins, 1 draw) with a 9:2 goal difference
风险因素
  • Tight prediction: The model calculates a balanced match with a 35% home win and 34% away win probability
  • Vulnerable defense: Hellas Verona concede an average of 1.65 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
概述

Cagliari face Hellas Verona in the Coppa Italia

Match at Sardegna Arena on September 3, 2026, 9:00 PM

Cup tie without league standings context

A highly competitive knockout match is anticipated

近期状态

Cagliari display strong form with 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 games

The form curve is WWWWL

Hellas Verona are winless in 5 matches with 3 draws and 2 losses

The form curve is DLDLD

The form trend favors the home side

统计数据

Cagliari average 1.05 goals scored and 1.39 goals conceded per game

Hellas Verona show defensive vulnerability with 1.61 goals conceded per match

The visitors failed to score in 20 matches this season

历史交锋

Historical dominance for Cagliari with 3 wins and 1 draw in 4 meetings

Goal difference of 9:2 in favor of Cagliari

The last head-to-head match ended in a dominant 4:0 home win for Cagliari

关键球员

Mattia Felici has 2 goals and 1 assist with a 6.74 rating

Paul Mendy contributed 2 goals this season

Andrias Edmundsson stabilizes the defense with an average rating of 6.90

门将

Boris Radunović starts in goal for Cagliari

Simone Perilli is between the line for Hellas Verona

Cagliari achieved 8 clean sheets this season while Verona kept 6

影响因素

Home advantage for Cagliari at the Sardegna Arena on grass

Stadium average is 2.4 goals per game

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