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Coppa Italia

Parma - Cremonese

09/01/2026, 04:00 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
Parma
1.2
Total xG
1.9
Cremonese
0.7
最可能的比分

0:0

16%

1:0

16%

1:1

14%

2:0

10%

0:1

9%
xG 分解
PARCRE

Parma

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.10
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 0.9 赛季平均)
-0.10
Adrián Bernabé未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
Emanuele Valeri未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
Enrico Delprato替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
Mandela Keita未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
72%进球产出缺失 (仅35%可用)

Cremonese

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.5倍)
-0.56
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.17
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1 赛季平均)
+0.17
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
Federico Bonazzoli未进大名单 (10球, 2助攻)
Jamie Vardy未进大名单 (7球, 2助攻)
Matteo Bianchetti替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
Filippo Terracciano未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.7球 vs 总体1球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

45%

平局

34%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

59%

Under 1.5

41%

Over 2.5

31%

Under 2.5

69%

Over 3.5

13%

Under 3.5

87%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

55%

非平局

66%

双方进球

38%

62%

关键因素
  • Parma holds a squad impact advantage: Parma retains 35% of its usual active goal share, while Cremonese plummets to 0%
  • Significant rest advantage for the visitors: Parma plays with only 3 days of recovery since their last game, while Cremonese has enjoyed 15 days of rest
  • Low historical scoring: Parma has yet to score a single goal against Cremonese across their head-to-head encounters
风险因素
  • Severe goal-threat deficit for Parma: Missing Adrián Bernabé and Emanuele Valeri leaves only 35% of the team's seasonal goal share available
  • Total attacking collapse for Cremonese: Without Federico Bonazzoli, Jamie Vardy, and Filippo Terracciano, active goal share plummets to 0%
  • Lack of offensive output: Both sides struggled recently, with Parma averaging 3.6 shots on target and Cremonese averaging 3.8
概述

Parma host Cremonese at the Stadio Ennio Tardini

Coppa Italia match on September 1, 2026, 6:00 PM

A competitive cup tie with everything on the line

近期状态

Parma form: LWWLL

Parma recorded 2 wins and 3 losses recently

Cremonese form: LWWLW

Cremonese registered 3 wins and 2 losses recently

统计数据

Parma scored 28 goals in 38 season matches, averaging 0.74 goals per game

Cremonese scored 32 goals in 38 matches, averaging 0.84 per game

Parma conceded 1.21 goals on average, while Cremonese conceded 1.50

At home, Parma average 0.73 goals per game

历史交锋

There have been 2 head-to-head matches

No wins for Parma, 1 win for Cremonese, and 1 draw

The last match ended in a 0-2 win for Cremonese on March 21, 2026

Overall goals in direct duels stand at 0-2 against Parma

关键球员

Nesta Elphege scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist this season

Christian Ordóñez scored 1 goal with a season rating of 6.52

Lautaro Valenti anchors the defense with an average rating of 6.83

Alberto Grassi made 30 appearances this season, averaging a 6.67 rating

Simone Lottici Tessadri has made 1 appearance this season

Alessandro Vogliacco starts in defense for the visitors

门将

Giovanni Daffara is in goal for Parma

Federico Agazzi is the goalkeeper for Cremonese

Parma recorded 13 clean sheets this season

Cremonese registered 11 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at the Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma concede 1.14 goals per game on average at home

Cremonese concede 1.65 goals per game on average away from home

Historically, matches at the Tardini average 2.0 goals per game

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