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Coppa Italia

Udinese - Venezia

09/02/2026, 04:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Udinese
1.5
Total xG
2.4
Venezia
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

13%

0:0

11%

2:0

11%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
UDIVEN

Udinese

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.08
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.08
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.02
Arthur Atta未进大名单 (5球, 3助攻)
Thomas Kristensen未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
Hassane Kamara替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
Jakub Piotrowski替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
26%进球产出缺失 (仅76%可用)

Venezia

防守不足 (场均失2.2球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+1.05
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.51倍)
-0.67
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.39
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.24
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.18
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

51%

平局

29%

客胜

20%

进球数

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

双重机会

主胜或平局

80%

客胜或平局

49%

非平局

71%

双方进球

47%

54%

关键因素
  • Udinese enters as the favorite with a 51% home win probability calculated by the model
  • Venezia was highly dominant in recent matches, averaging 57% possession and 4.2 shots on target
  • Udinese has to play without Arthur Atta, who is not in the lineup despite having 5 goals and 3 assists
风险因素
  • Venezia concedes an average of 5.0 goals per away match
  • Udinese averaged only 3.0 shots on target per match recently
  • Limited data availability for Venezia's player statistics
概述

Udinese hosts Venezia at the Dacia Arena

Coppa Italia match on September 2, 2026, 6:00 PM

Knockout tie in the Italian Cup

The home side enters as favorites with a 51% win probability calculated by the model

近期状态

Udinese holds a form of LLWDW and recently won 3-2 away against Monza

A total of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their form summary

Venezia shows a form of DLWLL with two consecutive losses at the end

The visitors recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Udinese averages 1.18 goals scored and 1.26 goals conceded per match

Udinese managed 11 clean sheets this season

Venezia scored an average of 1.67 goals and conceded 1.67 goals in 3 matches

Udinese's goal production is currently stalling at 1.0 compared to their season average of 1.26

Venezia averages 1.0 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.6

历史交锋

Balanced historical record with 2 head-to-head matches

Each team has recorded 1 win

The last direct encounter ended in a 3-2 home win for Udinese on February 1, 2025

A total of 5-5 goals scored across these meetings

关键球员

Udinese relies on Keinan Davis with 10 goals and 4 assists in 30 games (rating 7.04)

Oumar Solet contributed 3 goals and 1 assist in 35 matches (rating 7.12)

Christian Kabasele has 3 goals in 30 appearances with a rating of 6.78

For Venezia, Lorenzo Montipò is featured with a 7.19 rating across 2 games

Thórir Jóhann Helgason holds a 6.29 rating in 2 matches

Armel Bella-Kotchap has recorded 1 game played

门将

Bartosz Mrozek starts in goal for Udinese, who kept 11 clean sheets this season

Lorenzo Montipò plays in goal for Venezia, with the visitors recording 2 clean sheets so far

影响因素

Udinese averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded at home

The Dacia Arena proves to be a low-scoring venue with an average of 1.4 goals per match

Venezia conceded 5 goals in their only away game so far

The match will be played on natural grass

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