Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain - Metz
02/21/2026, 08:05 PM
预期进球
2.4
3.4
1.0
2:0
10%2:1
10%1:1
9%3:0
8%3:1
8%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
68%
平局
19%
客胜
12%
进球数
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
66%
Under 2.5
34%
Over 3.5
44%
Under 3.5
56%
双重机会
主胜或平局
88%
客胜或平局
32%
非平局
81%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- Difference in class: PSG (2nd), a title contender, faces relegation candidate Metz (18th)
- Home strength vs. away weakness: PSG scores 2.25 goals at home while conceding only 0.33, whereas Metz concedes 2.58 goals away
- Historical dominance: PSG has won all of the last 5 head-to-head matches, with a goal difference of 15:4
风险因素
- Missing offensive power for PSG: The absence of key players like Ousmane Dembélé (8 goals, 4 assists) could reduce their attacking prowess
- Goals conceded in H2H: Although PSG dominates, Metz has scored in the last two encounters, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities
概述
Paris Saint Germain (2nd place, 51 points) hosts Metz (18th place, 13 points) at the Parc des Princes
Ligue 1 match on February 21, 2026, 9:05 PM
A clear clash between a title contender and a relegation candidate
近期状态
Paris Saint Germain form: DWWLW
In the last five matches, there have been 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Their form is therefore positive
Metz form: LLLDL
Metz has not won a single game in the last five matches, with 1 draw and 4 losses
Their form trend is clearly pointing downwards
统计数据
PSG's offense is extremely strong with an average of 2.23 goals per game, and even 2.25 at home
Metz, on the other hand, has one of the weakest defenses in the league with 2.23 goals conceded per game, rising to 2.58 away
Defensively, PSG is very stable, conceding only 0.33 goals on average at home
Metz's attack scores an average of only 1.0 goal per away game
历史交锋
In the last 5 direct duels, Paris Saint Germain clearly dominated with 5 wins
Metz could not win a single game, and there were no draws
The goal difference is clearly in favor of PSG at 15:4
The last encounter was won by PSG with a score of 3:2
关键球员
For Paris Saint Germain, Gonçalo Ramos (4 season goals) and Kang-in Lee (2 goals, 2 assists) could be decisive
Achraf Hakimi is also a goal-scoring threat as a defender with 2 goals
For Metz, Jean-Philippe Gbamin (1 goal, 1 assist) and Boubacar Traoré (1 goal) are important pillars of the team
Alpha Touré has recently shown improving form
门将
The Paris Saint Germain goalkeeper has contributed to 11 clean sheets this season
Metz's goalkeeper, Jonathan Fischer, was part of a team that kept 4 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The home advantage for Paris Saint Germain at the Parc des Princes is enormous
They score an average of 2.25 goals at home and concede only 0.33
Recent matches at the stadium have been high-scoring with an average of 3.6 goals
In 4 of the last 5 home games, there were more than 2.5 goals