Ligue 1
Nantes - Le Havre
02/22/2026, 04:15 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.2
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
12%1:0
11%0:1
10%2:1
8%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
37%
平局
32%
客胜
31%
进球数
Over 1.5
67%
Under 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
双重机会
主胜或平局
69%
客胜或平局
63%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
47%
否
53%
关键因素
- Stark form contrast: Nantes has lost their last five games, while Le Havre has won their last two
- Battle of weak defenses: Nantes concedes an average of 2.0 goals at home, Le Havre concedes 2.67 away
- Low goal threat: Both teams score less than one goal per game on average (0.91), and the model predicts only a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals
风险因素
- Nantes' offense is weakened by the suspension of Matthis Abline (4 goals, 2 assists), leaving only 70% of their goal threat available
- Le Havre travels with a very long list of injured and suspended players, which could affect squad depth
- The mathematical prediction is extremely uncertain, with almost equal probabilities for a win, draw, or loss (37% home win, 31% away win)
概述
In the Ligue 1 relegation battle, Nantes (17th place, 14 points) host Le Havre (13th place, 26 points)
The match will take place on February 22, 2026, at 5:15 PM at the Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
For Nantes, the goal is to end a disastrous losing streak and collect vital points for survival
近期状态
Nantes is in a deep crisis with a form of LLLLL from their last five matches
The team has lost all five games and is on a downward spiral
Le Havre shows significantly better form with DDLWW
After a draw and a loss, they managed to win their last two games, indicating an upward trend
统计数据
Both teams have a weak offense, averaging only 0.91 goals per game this season
Nantes' defense is significantly more vulnerable with an average of 1.82 goals conceded per game, compared to Le Havre's 1.23
Particularly striking is Nantes' weakness at home (2.0 goals conceded per game) and Le Havre's weakness away (2.67 goals conceded per game)
Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 11 of Le Havre's 22 games
历史交锋
In the last five direct encounters, Le Havre has the upper hand with two wins to Nantes' one, with two matches ending in a draw
The goal difference also slightly favors the visitors at 6:4
The last meeting ended in a 1-1 draw
Overall, Le Havre has shown slight dominance in the recent past
关键球员
For Nantes, defender Fabien Centonze stands out with three goals this season
Chidozie Awaziem and Johann Lepenant are also key pillars of the team
For Le Havre, Issa Soumaré is the most dangerous attacker with six goals
Rassoul Ndiaye contributes significantly to the attack with three goals and three assists, supported by Fodé Doucouré with two goals this season
门将
Anthony Lopes is in goal for Nantes; the team has kept 3 clean sheets this season
For Le Havre, Mory Diaw is between the posts; his team has managed to keep 6 clean sheets so far
影响因素
Nantes has a very poor record at home, with only 10 goals scored and 22 conceded in 11 matches
Le Havre is also extremely vulnerable on the road, having conceded 16 goals in 6 away games
Recent matches at the Stade de la Beaujoire have been high-scoring, with an average of 2.8 goals per game and both teams scoring in 4 out of 5 cases