Ligue 1
Lens - Monaco
02/21/2026, 04:00 PM
预期进球
1.7
2.7
1.0
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
5%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
51%
平局
27%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
29%
Under 3.5
71%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
49%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- As league leaders, Lens are extremely strong at home, conceding an average of only 0.45 goals
- Lens' strong defense (only 17 goals conceded) meets one of the most vulnerable away defenses in the league (Monaco, 2.5 goals conceded per game)
- Current form clearly favors Lens, who are on a three-game winning streak
风险因素
- Monaco is dealing with numerous absences, including key players like Aleksandr Golovin, leaving only about 69% of their usual goal threat available
- Despite the absences, Monaco has scored more frequently in recent games (3.0 goals) than their season average (1.7)
- The historical head-to-head record is balanced, showing that Monaco has been a tough opponent for Lens in the past
概述
League leaders Lens (1st place, 52 points) host AS Monaco (8th place, 31 points) at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis
A top Ligue 1 match on February 21, 2026, 5:00 PM
Lens aims to defend their position at the top of the table, while Monaco wants to stay in touch with the European spots
The mathematical analysis favors Lens with a 51% win probability
近期状态
Lens is in outstanding form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches
Form: WLWWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The team enters this game on a three-game winning streak
Monaco has been more inconsistent with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 fixtures
Form: DWDWL
Monaco's last game ended in a loss
统计数据
Lens has one of the strongest defenses in the league, conceding only 0.77 goals per game
At home, Lens is a fortress, having conceded just 5 goals in 11 matches
Monaco's attack is potent, averaging 1.59 goals per game
However, their defense is vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per game
历史交锋
The record of the last five head-to-head encounters is balanced, with two wins each for Lens and Monaco, and one draw
Lens scored 11 goals in these matches, while Monaco scored 8
The last meeting was a clear 4-1 victory for Lens
关键球员
Wesley Saïd (10 goals, 2 assists) and Odsonne Édouard (8 goals, 3 assists) are the top scorers for Lens
Adrien Thomasson is a key creator with 6 assists
For Monaco, Folarin Balogun and Maghnes Akliouche are the most dangerous attackers with 4 season goals each
Lamine Camara has contributed 3 assists
门将
Lens' goalkeeper, Robin Risser, has been part of a team that has kept 9 clean sheets this season
Monaco's Philipp Köhn has kept 5 clean sheets with his team this season
影响因素
Lens has a significant home advantage, highlighted by conceding only 5 goals in 11 home matches
However, the last five games at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis have been rather low-scoring, with an average of 1.8 goals
This contrasts with the general attacking strength of both teams this season