Ligue 1
Nice - Lorient
02/22/2026, 04:15 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.6
1.4
1:1
14%1:2
9%0:2
8%2:1
7%2:2
5%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
28%
平局
29%
客胜
42%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
双重机会
主胜或平局
58%
客胜或平局
72%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- Drastic form disparity: Lorient has won four of the last five games, while Nice has won only one
- Lorient's defensive vulnerability away from home: With an average of 3.4 goals conceded per away game, the visitors have a significant weakness
- Advantage in the prediction model: The mathematical analysis favors Lorient with a 42% probability of winning, compared to 29% for Nice
风险因素
- Reduced attacking power for Nice: The home team's lineup has only 63% of their seasonal goal production available, which could hinder their ability to exploit Lorient's defensive weakness
- Unpredictable matchup: Lorient's strong form directly conflicts with their extremely poor away defensive record (3.4 goals conceded per game), making the outcome more uncertain
概述
Nice (15th place, 23 points) host Lorient (10th place, 31 points) at the Allianz Riviera
Ligue 1 match on February 22, 2026, 5:15 PM
This is a clash between a team in poor form from the bottom of the table and a visitor in strong form from the mid-table
近期状态
Nice: WLDDL (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 games)
Lorient: WWWLW (4 wins, 1 loss in the last 5 games)
The form curve clearly favors the visitors, who have won four of their last five matches, while Nice has won only one of their last five
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
This season, Nice scores an average of 1.23 goals per game and concedes 1.82 goals
Lorient scores an average of 1.32 goals per game and concedes 1.50 goals
Particularly striking is Lorient's defensive weakness away from home, with an average of 3.40 goals conceded per away game
Nice is more defensively stable at home, conceding an average of just 1.27 goals
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, there were 2 wins for Nice, 1 win for Lorient, and 2 draws
The goal difference in these matches is 8:6 in favor of Nice
The last meeting was won by Lorient with a score of 3:1
Overall, the record shows a slight historical advantage for Nice
关键球员
For Nice, Sofiane Diop (7 season goals, 3 assists) and Mohamed-Ali Cho (4 goals, 2 assists) could be decisive
For Lorient, all eyes are on Pablo Pagis (7 season goals) and Arsène Kouassi (2 goals, 5 assists)
门将
Maxime Dupé is in goal for Nice; the team has kept 3 clean sheets this season
Yvon Mvogo is in goal for Lorient; his team has achieved 5 clean sheets so far
影响因素
Nice's home record is balanced, with an average of 1.27 goals scored and 1.27 goals conceded per home game
Lorient shows a glaring defensive weakness away, conceding an average of 3.40 goals per game
Statistics for the Allianz Riviera show an average of 2.2 goals per game in the last 5 matches