Ligue 1
Strasbourg - Lens
02/27/2026, 07:45 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.8
1.5
1:1
13%1:2
9%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Strasbourg
Lens
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
31%
平局
28%
客胜
41%
进球数
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
双重机会
主胜或平局
59%
客胜或平局
69%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- League standings: A clash between second-placed Lens, fighting for the title, and seventh-placed Strasbourg, hoping for a European spot
- Offensive power: Both teams have a good goal-scoring record, which, according to the data, has recently been even higher than their season average
- Numerous absences for Lens: The visitors have to cope without several key players, including top scorer Wesley Saïd, which could weaken their attack
风险因素
- Strasbourg's home strength: The home team is very stable defensively, conceding an average of only 0.67 goals per game in their own stadium
- Lens' low shooting efficiency: Despite the high number of goals, Lens averages only 3.4 shots on target per game, suggesting some inefficiency in chance creation
概述
Strasbourg (7th place, 34 points) hosts Lens (2nd place, 52 points) at the Stade de la Meinau
A top Ligue 1 match on February 27, 2026, 8:45 PM
Lens is fighting for the top of the table, while Strasbourg is targeting the European spots
The mathematical analysis slightly favors Lens with a 41% win probability
近期状态
Strasbourg form: WLLDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
In the last 5 matches, there were 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Most recently, they achieved a 3-1 victory against Olympique Lyonnais
Lens form: LWWWL
Lens has won 3 of their last 5 matches but also lost 2
The last match was a 2-3 loss against Monaco, which ended a winning streak
统计数据
Offensively, Lens is slightly stronger with an average of 1.91 goals per game compared to Strasbourg's 1.70
Defensively, Lens is significantly more stable, conceding only 0.87 goals per game, compared to 1.30 for Strasbourg
Strasbourg is very strong defensively at home, conceding an average of only 0.67 goals at the Stade de la Meinau
Lens is very dangerous away from home, scoring an average of 1.91 goals
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Lens was the more successful team
Lens won 3 matches, Strasbourg won once, and 1 game ended in a draw
The goal difference is 7-5 in favor of Lens
The last meeting was won by Lens 1-0
关键球员
Joaquín Panichelli (13 season goals, 1 assist)
Martial Godo (7 season goals, 1 assist)
Guela Doué (2 season goals, 5 assists)
Wesley Saïd (10 season goals, 2 assists)
Odsonne Édouard (9 season goals, 3 assists)
Florian Thauvin (7 season goals, 3 assists)
门将
Mike Penders is in goal for Strasbourg and has kept 7 clean sheets this season
For Lens, Robin Risser is the goalkeeper, who already boasts 9 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Strasbourg benefits from a strong home advantage, especially defensively with only 0.67 goals conceded per home game
Statistics at the Stade de la Meinau suggest high-scoring games: an average of 2.8 goals were scored in the last 5 matches
In 4 of Strasbourg's last 5 home games, both teams scored
The playing surface is natural grass