Ligue 1
LOSC Lille - Nantes
03/01/2026, 04:15 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.2
0.8
1:1
14%1:0
14%0:0
13%2:0
11%2:1
9%xG 分解
LOSC Lille
Nantes
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
49%
平局
31%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
66%
Under 1.5
34%
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
18%
Under 3.5
82%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
51%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
43%
否
57%
关键因素
- League table disparity: Lille (6th) is clearly superior to Nantes (17th) over the season, both offensively and defensively
- Contrasting form trends: Lille is on the rise with two consecutive wins, while Nantes has lost four of their last five matches
- Home strength vs. away weakness: Lille's solid home attack (1.5 goals/game) meets Nantes' vulnerable away defense (1.8 goals conceded/game)
风险因素
- Potential fatigue for Lille: The home team has had only three days of rest since their last match
- Lille's goal production has dropped: Recently, Lille scored only 1.0 goals per game, which is below their season average of 1.57
- Nantes coming off a win: The visitors won their last match, which could boost their confidence
概述
LOSC Lille (6th place, 37 points) hosts Nantes (17th place, 17 points) at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Ligue 1 match on March 1, 2026, 5:15 PM
The home team is fighting for a European spot, while the visitors are in a relegation battle
The mathematical analysis favors Lille with a 49% win probability
近期状态
LOSC Lille form: DDLWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
In their last 5 matches, Lille achieved 2 wins, 2 draws, and suffered 1 defeat
They have won their last two consecutive matches, indicating an upward trend in form
Nantes form: LLLLW
Nantes has won only 1 of their last 5 games, losing 4
However, their sole victory came in their most recent match, which could suggest a slight turnaround
统计数据
Offensively, Lille is significantly stronger with an average of 1.57 goals per game compared to Nantes' 0.96
Defensively, Lille is also more stable, conceding an average of 1.35 goals, while Nantes concedes 1.74
Nantes' defense is particularly vulnerable away from home (averaging 1.8 goals conceded per game)
Lille scores an average of 1.5 goals per game at home
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, LOSC Lille has been the more successful team with 3 wins
Nantes managed to win only 1 match, with one game ending in a draw
The goal difference also clearly favors Lille at 7:3
The last meeting was won by Lille with a score of 2-0
关键球员
For LOSC Lille, Hákon Arnar Haraldsson (5 season goals) and Félix Correia (3 goals, 5 assists) are key offensive players
Benjamin André is a key player in midfield with a high average rating of 7.15
For Nantes, Fabien Centonze is a goal threat from defense with 3 season goals
Youssef El Arabi is an important forward, also with 3 goals
Chidozie Awaziem organizes the defense and has a solid rating of 6.92
门将
In goal for Lille is Berke Özer, who has kept 7 clean sheets this season
For Nantes, Anthony Lopes is the goalkeeper, he has achieved 4 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Lille has a clear home advantage, with 1.5 goals per home game and only 1.08 conceded
The last 5 matches at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy have been rather low-scoring, with an average of just 2.2 goals per game
Both teams scored in only 2 of these 5 matches