Ligue 1
Rennes - Toulouse
02/28/2026, 04:00 PM
预期进球
1.7
2.7
1.0
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
10%1:2
6%3:1
5%xG 分解
Rennes
Toulouse
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
51%
平局
27%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
49%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- Rennes' resurgence with two consecutive wins meets Toulouse's four-game winless streak
- Rennes' strong home defense (only 0.86 goals conceded/game) will test Toulouse's potent away attack (1.44 goals/game)
- The mathematical analysis clearly favors Rennes with a 51% win probability
风险因素
- Toulouse is offensively weakened by the absences of Aron Dønnun (3 goals/4 assists) and Frank Magri (5 goals/1 assist), with only 69% of their goal-scoring threat available
- The historical record is clearly against Rennes, who have failed to win any of the last five encounters against Toulouse (3 losses, 2 draws)
概述
Rennes (6th place, 37 points) host Toulouse (10th place, 31 points) at Roazhon Park
A mid-table clash in Ligue 1 on February 28, 2026, 5:00 PM
Rennes aims to stay in contention for European spots with a victory
近期状态
Rennes form: LLLWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
After three consecutive losses, Rennes won their last two matches
Overall, the team has 2 wins and 3 losses from the last five games
Toulouse form: WLLDD
Toulouse are winless in their last four matches
The visitors have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five games
统计数据
Rennes scores an average of 1.61 goals per game and concedes 1.52
At home, Rennes is defensively strong, conceding only 0.86 goals per game
Toulouse has a goal record of 1.45 goals for and 1.18 against per game
Away from home, Toulouse concedes an average of 1.22 goals
An average of 3.4 goals have been scored in the last 5 games at Roazhon Park
历史交锋
Rennes has failed to win in the last 5 direct encounters
Toulouse won 3 times, with 2 draws
The goal difference also favors Toulouse at 8:4
The last meeting ended in a 2-2 draw
关键球员
Estéban Lepaul is Rennes' top striker with 11 goals this season
Mousa Tamari has contributed 3 goals and 4 assists this season
Valentin Rongier is a key player in midfield with a high season rating of 7.09
Yann Gboho is Toulouse's most dangerous player with 6 goals and 4 assists
Defender Charlie Cresswell also shows attacking qualities with 3 goals and 2 assists
Pape Demba Diop has proven valuable with 1 goal and 1 assist in just 5 games
门将
Rennes' goalkeeper Brice Samba has kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches
Guillaume Restes of Toulouse has 8 clean sheets in 22 appearances
影响因素
Rennes demonstrates a clear home advantage, conceding only 0.86 goals per home game on season average
Matches at Roazhon Park are often high-scoring, with an average of 3.4 goals in the last five games
In 4 of the last 5 home matches for Rennes, both teams have scored