Ligue 1
Metz - Brest
03/01/2026, 04:15 PM
预期进球
0.8
2.7
1.9
1:1
12%0:2
12%1:2
10%0:3
7%1:3
6%xG 分解
Metz
Brest
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
15%
平局
24%
客胜
61%
进球数
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
双重机会
主胜或平局
39%
客胜或平局
85%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
50%
否
50%
关键因素
- The absence of Gauthier Hein (6 goals/4 assists) is critical for Metz, with only 55% of their goal-scoring threat available in the squad
- There's a significant gap in form and league standing, with Metz deep in a relegation battle and Brest solid in mid-table
- Metz has the league's weakest defense facing a consistent Brest attack, which the prediction model gives a high probability (61%) of an away win
风险因素
- Brest's defense is vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game
- Metz lacks offensive firepower, averaging only 2.4 shots on target per game
概述
Metz (18th place, 13 points) hosts Brest (11th place, 30 points) at the Stade Saint-Symphorien
This is a crucial match in the relegation battle for Metz, while Brest aims to solidify their mid-table position
The Ligue 1 fixture takes place on March 1, 2026, at 5:15 PM
近期状态
Metz form: LLDLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Metz has not won any of their last 5 matches, with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses
Brest form: LDWDW
Brest is in good form, recording 2 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 loss in their last 5 games
统计数据
Metz has the weakest defense in the league, conceding an average of 2.26 goals per game
Brest is stronger offensively, scoring an average of 1.35 goals per game compared to Metz's 0.96
Away from home, Brest concedes an average of 2.1 goals, indicating a vulnerable defense on the road
Metz has failed to score in 9 of their 23 league matches this season
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Brest has had the clear upper hand
Brest won 4 of these matches, while Metz was victorious only once
There have been no draws in their recent meetings
The goal difference is 10-7 in favor of Brest
关键球员
Habib Diallo is Metz's top scorer with 4 goals this season
Giorgi Tsitaishvili has contributed with 2 goals and 1 assist this season
Defender Koffi Kouao is showing a rising form trend and has scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist
Ludovic Ajorque is the key player for Brest with 5 goals and 7 assists
Romain Del Castillo is Brest's top scorer with 7 goals
Kamory Doumbia significantly contributes to the attack with 5 goals and 2 assists
门将
Jonathan Fischer is the goalkeeper for Metz and has kept 4 clean sheets this season
Grégoire Coudert is in goal for Brest and has managed to keep 7 clean sheets
影响因素
Metz has a poor record at home, averaging 1 goal scored and 1.8 goals conceded per game
Recent matches at the Stade Saint-Symphorien have been high-scoring, with an average of 3.4 goals per game
In 3 of Metz's last 5 home games, both teams scored and there were over 2.5 goals