Ligue 1
Olympique Marseille - Olympique Lyonnais
03/01/2026, 07:45 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.9
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
9%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Olympique Marseille
Olympique Lyonnais
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
30%
平局
28%
客胜
42%
进球数
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
双重机会
主胜或平局
58%
客胜或平局
70%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
59%
否
41%
关键因素
- Critical weakening for Lyon: With key players like Pavel Sulc missing, only 51% of the seasonal goal threat is available, significantly impacting their offense
- Drastic form imbalance: Lyon's strong run (4 wins in 5 games) meets a struggling Marseille, who are winless in their last 5 matches
- Marseille's home strength versus recent goal drought: Despite being strong at home (2.07 goals/game), their recent scoring rate has plummeted to just 0.8 goals per game
风险因素
- Lyon's defensive away weakness: Lyon concedes significantly more goals away (1.45 average) than at home (0.58)
- Unpredictable history: Recent head-to-head matches never ended in a draw and featured wins for both sides, suggesting an open game
- Marseille's sleeping giant: Despite their recent slump, Marseille has potent attacking power over the season (5.2 shots on target per game)
概述
A top-tier clash in Ligue 1 as Olympique Marseille (4th place, 40 points) takes on Olympique Lyonnais (3rd place, 45 points)
The match will take place on March 1, 2026, 8:45 PM at the Stade Vélodrome
Both teams are fighting for crucial points in the race for Champions League spots
近期状态
Olympique Marseille is in a form crisis with a record of L-D-L-D-L from their last five games
They have not won any of these matches (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)
Olympique Lyonnais, on the other hand, has been strong with a form of W-W-W-W-L
They won four of their last five matches but lost their most recent game
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Marseille has one of the strongest attacks in the league, averaging 2.09 goals per game, especially at home (2.07 goals)
Lyon impresses with a very solid defense, conceding only 1.00 goal per game on average
Lyon has already kept 12 clean sheets, whereas Marseille has only 6
Away from home, Lyon's defense is more vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.45 goals
历史交锋
The last five head-to-head encounters show a close balance
Olympique Marseille won three times, while Olympique Lyonnais won twice
There have been no draws in these meetings
The goal difference slightly favors Marseille at 9:6
The last match ended in a 1-0 victory for Lyon
关键球员
For Marseille, the offensive responsibility mainly lies with Mason Greenwood, who has already contributed 14 goals and 4 assists this season
Amine Gouiri is also a key factor in attack with 5 goals
In midfield, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg provides stability
For Lyon, Corentin Tolisso is a central player with 5 goals this season
Young forward Endrick has already scored 3 goals in just 5 appearances and is showing rising form
门将
In goal for Marseille is Gerónimo Rulli; his team has kept 6 clean sheets this season
For Lyon, Dominik Greif is the goalkeeper; his team has managed an impressive 12 clean sheets
Statistically, Lyon has the upper hand here
影响因素
The Stade Vélodrome is a fortress for Marseille, where they average 2.07 goals scored and concede only 0.93 per game
The last five games at this stadium have been high-scoring, with an average of 2.8 goals per match
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of these matches