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La Liga

Celta de Vigo - Osasuna

08/27/2026, 06:30 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Celta de Vigo
1.5
Total xG
2.4
Osasuna
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

12%

2:0

11%

0:0

11%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
CDVOSA

Celta de Vigo

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.15
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第17位, 相差11位)
+0.08
防守不足 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.07
Borja Iglesias未进大名单 (14球, 2助攻)
Ferran Jutglà未进大名单 (9球, 3助攻)
Sergio Carreira未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
Fer López未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
34%进球产出缺失 (仅84%可用)

Osasuna

防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.31
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.21
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.67倍)
-0.20
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
-0.15
排名劣势 (第17位 vs 第6位, 相差11位)
-0.11
Ante Budimir替补席 (17球, 0助攻)
Rubén García替补席 (2球, 5助攻)
Enzo Boyomo替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Aimar Oroz替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
Valentin Rosier未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
46%进球产出缺失 (仅59%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.5球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

51%

平局

29%

客胜

20%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

80%

客胜或平局

49%

非平局

71%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • Severe squad depletion: Osasuna starts with only 60% of their usual goal-scoring power, missing Ante Budimir and Rubén García
  • Mathematical edge: The model predicts a 51% probability for a Celta de Vigo home victory
  • Recent offensive push: Osasuna averaged 5.8 shots on target in recent matches compared to 3.0 by Celta de Vigo
风险因素
  • High fatigue risk: Osasuna has had only 3 days of rest since their last official match
  • Stalling attack: Celta de Vigo's recent goal average has dropped to 1.3 compared to their season average of 1.5
  • Reduced firepower: Celta de Vigo is missing key attackers Borja Iglesias and Ferran Jutglà
概述

Celta de Vigo hosts Osasuna at the Estadio de Balaídos

La Liga match on August 27, 2026, 7:30 PM

Celta de Vigo sits in 12th place with 1 point

Osasuna occupies 11th place, also with 1 point

Both teams are looking for their first win of the season

近期状态

Celta de Vigo enters with form WLDWD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Most recently secured a 0-0 draw away at Valencia

Osasuna travels with form LLLLD

Their last match ended in a 0-0 draw against Levante

The hosts show a more stable recent run

统计数据

Celta de Vigo scored 1.39 goals per game last season

At home their average was 1.38 goals scored

Osasuna averages 1.16 goals scored per match

Osasuna's away weakness is highlighted by 2.36 goals conceded per away game

The stadium in Vigo recently averaged 3.4 total goals per game

历史交锋

Balanced record from the last 4 matches with 2 wins for each team

Most recently Osasuna won 2-1 away at Celta de Vigo

A total of 14 goals were scored in these 4 head-to-head games

None of the direct encounters ended in a draw

关键球员

Williot Swedberg recorded 5 goals and 5 assists in 29 appearances with a 6.74 rating

Javi Rueda contributed 2 goals and 6 assists in 26 games

Iago Aspas has 5 goals and 3 assists from 32 appearances

Raúl García scored 7 goals and provided 1 assist in 36 matches

Alejandro Catena stabilizes the defense and scored 3 goals in 35 games

Jon Moncayola registered 4 assists in 36 games

门将

Ionuț Radu played in 38 matches and recorded 10 clean sheets

Sergio Herrera completed 37 matches and achieved 7 clean sheets

Radu has a seasonal average rating of 6.89 compared to Herrera's 6.84

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at the Estadio de Balaídos

The home venue features an average of 3.4 goals per game

The historical both teams to score rate at this stadium is 60%

Celta de Vigo scored 29 goals and conceded 28 at home

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