La Liga
Real Madrid - Real Sociedad
08/26/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
2.6
3.7
1.1
2:1
9%3:1
8%3:0
7%4:1
5%2:2
5%xG 分解
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
70%
平局
18%
客胜
12%
进球数
Over 1.5
89%
Under 1.5
11%
Over 2.5
72%
Under 2.5
28%
Over 3.5
51%
Under 3.5
49%
双重机会
主胜或平局
88%
客胜或平局
30%
非平局
82%
双方进球
是
62%
否
38%
关键因素
- Matchup advantage: Real Madrid's strong home offense averaging 2.05 goals meets the visitors' shaky defense conceding 2.14 goals per away game on average
- Tactical dominance: Real Madrid averaged 5.0 shots on target with 61% possession in recent matches
- Historical dominance: The hosts remain unbeaten in the last 5 head-to-head matches, celebrating 4 wins
风险因素
- Real Madrid's goal production has slowed down recently to 1.8 goals per match compared to their season average of 2.2
- High defensive vulnerability for Real Sociedad with an average of 2.14 goals conceded per away game
- Squad depth tested for Real Madrid with 6 players sidelined including A. Tchouaméni and F. Mendy
概述
Real Madrid host Real Sociedad at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
La Liga match on August 26, 2026, 7:00 PM
Real Madrid currently sit in 7th place with 3 points from one game
Real Sociedad are in 19th place with 0 points
The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a probability of 70%
近期状态
Real Madrid are in strong form with a record of LWWWW
The hosts recorded 4 wins and 1 loss in their recent matches
Real Sociedad are struggling with a form of DDLDL and are winless in 5 matches
The visitors have registered 3 draws and 2 losses lately
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Real Madrid score an average of 2.03 goals and concede just 0.92 goals per match this season
In home games, Madrid average 2.05 goals scored and only 0.73 goals conceded
Real Sociedad score an average of 1.55 goals but concede 1.61 goals per game
On the road, the visitors concede an average of 2.14 goals per match
Matches at this venue historically produce an average of 3.2 goals
历史交锋
Dominant record for Real Madrid in the last 5 head-to-head matches
The hosts celebrated 4 wins, with one draw and zero defeats
The goal difference stands at 13:6 in favor of Real Madrid
The last direct encounter on February 14, 2026 ended in a 4-1 home victory for Real Madrid
关键球员
Kylian Mbappé leads the attack with 25 goals, 5 assists, and a 7.64 rating
Vinicius Junior has contributed 16 goals and 5 assists with a rating of 7.33
Jude Bellingham impresses with 6 goals, 4 assists, and a strong rating of 7.32
Mikel Oyarzabal has recorded 15 goals, 4 assists, and a 7.16 rating on the other side
Sergio Gómez shines as a playmaker with 6 assists and a rating of 6.93
Takefusa Kubo has registered 2 goals and 4 assists with a rating of 6.99
门将
Thibaut Courtois starts in goal for Real Madrid with a home record of 6 clean sheets
Álex Remiro guards the net for the visitors, having kept 1 clean sheet in away matches
Courtois holds a home rating of 7.01, whereas Remiro registers a venue rating of 5.71
影响因素
The grass pitch of the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu offers optimal playing conditions
Matches at this stadium historically produce an average of 3.2 goals per game
Both teams scored in 80% of matches played here
The home record of 45 goals scored in 22 matches highlights high scoring efficiency