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La Liga

Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano

08/15/2026, 07:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Sevilla
1.4
Total xG
2.4
Rayo Vallecano
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

1:0

11%

2:1

9%

2:0

9%
xG 分解
SEVRV

Sevilla

防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.03
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.02
Djibril Sow未进大名单 (5球, 4助攻)
Rubén Vargas替补席 (3球, 6助攻)
José Ángel Carmona替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
Neal Maupay未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
Nemanja Gudelj未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
58%进球产出缺失 (仅40%可用)

Rayo Vallecano

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.08
Pep Chavarría未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.5球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

43%

平局

31%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

57%

非平局

69%

双方进球

49%

51%

关键因素
  • Severe squad impact for Sevilla: Only 40% of their goal threat is available with Djibril Sow, Rubén Vargas, José Ángel Carmona, Neal Maupay and Nemanja Gudelj missing
  • Tactical metrics: Sevilla averaged 4.8 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Historical advantage: Sevilla remains unbeaten in the last 4 head-to-head matches against Rayo Vallecano
风险因素
  • Away defensive vulnerability: Rayo Vallecano conceded an average of 1.81 goals per away match last season
  • Struggling attack: Rayo Vallecano's recent goal production of 1.2 is below their season average of 1.5
  • Conceding rate: Sevilla conceded an average of 1.58 goals per game last season
概述

Sevilla host Rayo Vallecano at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

La Liga match on August 15, 2026, 9:30 PM

Both teams start the new season level on points

The mathematical model estimates a home win probability of 43%

近期状态

Sevilla's form is WWWLL with two consecutive defeats at the end

Rayo Vallecano's form is DDWWL

Sevilla recorded three wins in their last five matches

Rayo Vallecano achieved two wins and two draws

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Sevilla scored an average of 1.21 goals and conceded 1.58 last season

Rayo Vallecano scored an average of 1.08 goals and conceded 1.16

Sevilla averaged 1.2 goals scored in home matches

Rayo Vallecano conceded an average of 1.81 goals away from home

Both teams scored in 22 of Sevilla's matches and 17 of Rayo's matches

历史交锋

Sevilla leads the history with 2 wins from 4 head-to-head matches

No wins for Rayo Vallecano with 2 draws recorded

The last meeting on March 8, 2026 ended in a 1-1 draw

Goal difference stands at 4-2 in favor of Sevilla

关键球员

Oso with 2 goals and 3 assists in 21 appearances

Isaac Romero recorded 4 goals in 29 season matches

Lucien Agoumé scored 1 goal and provided 3 assists

Jorge de Frutos scored 10 goals and provided 1 assist this season

Randy Nteka scored 3 times in 13 appearances

Florian Lejeune with 2 goals and 1 assist in 36 matches

门将

Odysseas Vlachodimos played 33 matches with an average rating of 6.74

Augusto Batalla made 34 appearances with an average rating of 6.91

Sevilla recorded 6 clean sheets last season

Rayo Vallecano kept 12 clean sheets

影响因素

The match will be played on grass

In Sevilla's last 5 home matches, there was an average of 2.0 goals per game

Home advantage supported by 24 home goals scored last season

Rayo Vallecano scored 17 goals in 16 away matches

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