🇫🇷

Ligue 1

Paris Saint Germain - Monaco

03/06/2026, 07:45 PM

1 : 3
预期进球
Paris Saint Germain
1.9
Total xG
2.9
Monaco
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
PSGMON

Paris Saint Germain

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.59
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.43倍)
+0.40
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
-0.12
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第7位, 相差6位)
+0.06
João Neves未进首发 (5球, 1助攻)
12%进球产出缺失 (仅92%可用)

Monaco

最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.23
排名劣势 (第7位 vs 第1位, 相差6位)
-0.06
T. Minamino未进首发 (3球, 2助攻)
12%进球产出缺失 (仅95%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体1.6球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

59%

平局

25%

客胜

17%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

54%

Under 2.5

46%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

83%

客胜或平局

41%

非平局

75%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a 59% home win probability for Paris Saint Germain
  • Paris Saint Germain's home strength (2.14 goals scored, 0.29 goals conceded) meets Monaco's defensive away weakness (2.12 goals conceded)
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paris Saint Germain was dominant, losing only 1 out of 5 games
风险因素
  • Paris Saint Germain's goal production is currently slowing down (2.0 goals) compared to the season average (2.4 goals)
  • Monaco concedes an average of 2.12 goals per away game
  • Both goalkeepers show a decline in their performance according to the form trend
概述

Paris Saint Germain (1st place, 57 points) host Monaco (7th place, 37 points) at Parc des Princes

Ligue 1 match on March 6, 2026, 8:45 PM

Paris Saint Germain leads the league and aims to maintain their advantage at the top of the table

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Paris Saint Germain shows a form of LWWDW from all competitions

The team recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five games

Monaco shows a form of WLWDW from all competitions

Monaco achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five games

统计数据

Paris Saint Germain scored an average of 2.21 goals per game and conceded 0.79 goals per game

Monaco scored an average of 1.67 goals per game and conceded 1.50 goals per game

At home, Paris Saint Germain scores an average of 2.14 goals and concedes 0.29 goals

Away, Monaco scores an average of 1.62 goals and concedes 2.12 goals

Paris Saint Germain kept 13 clean sheets, Monaco kept 6 clean sheets

At Parc des Princes, an average of 3.4 goals per game are scored

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Paris Saint Germain won 3 times, Monaco won 1 time, and there was 1 draw

Paris Saint Germain scored 13 goals, while Monaco scored 8 goals

The last encounter on February 25, 2026 ended in a 2:2 draw

Paris Saint Germain has been dominant in recent encounters

关键球员

For Paris Saint Germain, Vitinha (1 goal, 7 assists), Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (4 goals, 3 assists), and Bradley Barcola (9 goals, 1 assist) are important players

Vitinha has a season average rating of 7.63, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia of 7.20, and Bradley Barcola of 7.16

For Monaco, Folarin Balogun (6 goals, 3 assists), Aleksandr Golovin (2 goals, 5 assists), and Simon Adingra (3 goals, 0 assists) stand out

Aleksandr Golovin has provided 3 assists in his last 3 games

Simon Adingra scored 2 goals in his last game and shows a rising form trend

门将

Paris Saint Germain's goalkeeper, Matvey Safonov, has an average rating of 7.00 in 7 season appearances

Monaco's goalkeeper, Philipp Köhn, has an average rating of 6.77 in 18 season appearances

Paris Saint Germain has recorded 13 clean sheets this season

Monaco has recorded 6 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Paris Saint Germain shows home strength with an average of 2.14 goals scored and only 0.29 goals conceded at Parc des Princes

The away team Monaco concedes an average of 2.12 goals per away game

Parc des Princes sees an average of 3.4 goals per game

In 4 out of 5 games at Parc des Princes, over 2.5 goals were scored

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