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La Liga

Deportivo Alavés - Getafe

08/15/2026, 05:30 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
Deportivo Alavés
1.1
Total xG
1.8
Getafe
0.7
最可能的比分

0:0

19%

1:0

17%

1:1

14%

2:0

10%

0:1

10%
xG 分解
DAGET

Deportivo Alavés

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.17
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第7位, 相差7位)
-0.08
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.06
Victor Parada未进大名单 (0球, 3助攻)
Ibrahim Diabaté未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
12%进球产出缺失 (仅88%可用)

Getafe

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.62倍)
-0.64
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.04
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第14位, 相差7位)
+0.02
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.01
Luis Milla未进大名单 (1球, 10助攻)
Mauro Arambarri未进大名单 (6球, 2助攻)
Juan Iglesias未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
Domingos Duarte未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
46%进球产出缺失 (仅39%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

44%

平局

35%

客胜

20%

进球数

Over 1.5

55%

Under 1.5

45%

Over 2.5

26%

Under 2.5

74%

Over 3.5

10%

Under 3.5

90%

双重机会

主胜或平局

80%

客胜或平局

56%

非平局

65%

双方进球

34%

66%

关键因素
  • Squad deficit: Only 40% of the goal threat available, without Luis Milla, Mauro Arambarri, Juan Iglesias, Domingos Duarte
  • Model prediction: Mathematical analysis favors Deportivo Alavés with a 44% home win probability
  • Tactical advantage: Alavés averaged 4.6 shots on target in recent matches, while Getafe averaged 2.8
风险因素
  • Historical dominance: Getafe dominated recent duels with 3 wins in 4 matches and a 6:1 goal record
  • Attacking dip: Alavés goals average dropped to 1.2 recently compared to the 1.4 season average
概述

Deportivo Alavés hosts Getafe at Estadio de Mendizorroza

La Liga match on August 15, 2026, 7:30 PM

Season opener with both teams at 0 points

Alavés starts in 14th place, Getafe in 3rd place in the standings

近期状态

Deportivo Alavés form: LDWWL (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)

Getafe form: LDWLW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Both teams show a balanced record in recent matches

统计数据

Alavés averages 1.16 goals scored and 1.47 goals conceded per match

Getafe averages 0.84 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded

Alavés home record stands at 1.14 scored and 1.14 conceded goals

Getafe averages 0.82 goals scored in away games

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in history

Getafe dominates the head-to-head record with 3 wins and 1 draw

Alavés has not won a direct matchup yet

The last match ended in a 2:0 win for Getafe on February 8, 2026

关键球员

Toni Martínez with 14 goals and 3 assists this season

Antonio Blanco scored 2 goals and provided 3 assists

Martín Satriano is the most dangerous away attacker with 6 goals and 1 assist

门将

Antonio Sivera played 38 matches with a 6.75 rating

David Soria completed 38 matches with a 6.94 rating

Getafe recorded 12 clean sheets this season, Alavés 5

影响因素

Home advantage at Estadio de Mendizorroza on grass surface

Recently, matches at this stadium averaged 3.4 goals per game

The BTTS rate at this venue was 80% in recent matches

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