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La Liga

Valencia - Celta de Vigo

08/22/2026, 05:30 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Valencia
1.5
Total xG
3.0
Celta de Vigo
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:2

6%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
VALCDV

Valencia

防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.50
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
-0.42
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
+0.13
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.13
Hugo Duro替补席 (10球, 0助攻)
Luis Rioja未进大名单 (3球, 6助攻)
Diego López未进大名单 (4球, 1助攻)
Eray Cömert未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
49%进球产出缺失 (仅60%可用)

Celta de Vigo

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.39倍)
+1.13
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.03
Borja Iglesias替补席 (14球, 2助攻)
Williot Swedberg替补席 (5球, 5助攻)
Javi Rueda替补席 (2球, 6助攻)
Iago Aspas替补席 (5球, 3助攻)
Ilaix Moriba替补席 (2球, 3助攻)
Fer López未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
33%进球产出缺失 (仅53%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.5球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

38%

平局

27%

客胜

35%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 3.5

65%

双重机会

主胜或平局

65%

客胜或平局

62%

非平局

73%

双方进球

62%

38%

关键因素
  • Celta de Vigo travels with a severely weakened squad as only 53% of their regular goal threat is active without Borja Iglesias, Williot Swedberg, Javi Rueda, Iago Aspas, Ilaix Moriba, and Fer López
  • Valencia is in good scoring form lately, averaging 1.8 goals which is higher than their season average of 1.4
  • The mathematical model predicts a close encounter with a home win probability of 38%
风险因素
  • Key players Hugo Duro, Luis Rioja, Diego López, and Eray Cömert are missing for Valencia, leaving only 61% of their goal threat active
  • Celta de Vigo averaged only 3.2 shots on target in their recent matches
  • Celta de Vigo has dominated recent head-to-head encounters, winning 3 of the last 4 direct meetings
概述

Valencia hosts Celta de Vigo at the Estadio de Mestalla

La Liga match on August 22, 2026, 7:30 PM

Both teams start the season with 0 points

Valencia is currently in 13th place and Celta de Vigo in 11th place

近期状态

Valencia's form is LWDWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The hosts won their last match 3-1 against FC Barcelona

Celta de Vigo shows a form of WWLDW

Their last match ended with a 1-0 win against Sevilla

Both teams show stable form with 3 wins in their last 5 games

统计数据

Valencia scores 1.21 goals and concedes 1.45 goals on average per season

At home, Valencia scores an average of 1.23 goals and concedes 1.05 goals

Celta de Vigo averages 1.41 goals scored and 1.18 conceded away from home

Both teams scored occurred 21 times for Valencia and 24 times for Celta last season

历史交锋

There have been 4 head-to-head matches

Celta de Vigo leads the historical record with 3 wins to Valencia's 1

The goal ratio stands at 6-11 against Valencia

The last meeting on April 5, 2026, ended 2-3 in favor of Celta de Vigo

关键球员

For Valencia, Javi Guerra, Guido Rodríguez, and José Gayà are key

Javi Guerra scored 3 goals in his last 5 matches with an average rating of 7.35

Celta de Vigo relies on Ferran Jutglà, Hugo Álvarez, and Sergio Carreira

Ferran Jutglà recorded 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 appearances

门将

Stole Dimitrievski starts in goal for Valencia and has kept 4 clean sheets at home

Ionuț Radu guards the net for Celta de Vigo with 6 clean sheets away from home

Both goalkeepers have played vital statistical roles for their teams

影响因素

Estadio de Mestalla averages 3.2 goals per game in recent matches

Both teams scored in 80% of matches played here

The grass surface provides standard playing conditions

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