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La Liga

Elche - FC Barcelona

08/23/2026, 07:30 PM

0 : 5
预期进球
Elche
1.1
Total xG
3.2
FC Barcelona
2.1
最可能的比分

1:1

10%

1:2

10%

0:2

9%

1:3

7%

0:3

6%
xG 分解
ELCFB

Elche

排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第1位, 相差14位)
-0.18
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.12
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.12
防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.09
Álvaro Rodríguez未进大名单 (7球, 5助攻)
André Silva未进大名单 (10球, 0助攻)
Aleix Febas未进大名单 (2球, 3助攻)
Pedro Bigas未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)
58%进球产出缺失 (仅47%可用)

FC Barcelona

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.68倍)
+1.28
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.26
状态下滑 (1.6 vs 2.5 赛季平均)
-0.26
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第15位, 相差14位)
+0.14
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1球)
+0.11
Marcus Rashford未进大名单 (8球, 8助攻)
Robert Lewandowski未进大名单 (14球, 2助攻)
Dani Olmo未进大名单 (7球, 8助攻)
Pedri未进大名单 (2球, 9助攻)
João Cancelo未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

18%

平局

23%

客胜

60%

进球数

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

63%

Under 2.5

37%

Over 3.5

40%

Under 3.5

60%

双重机会

主胜或平局

40%

客胜或平局

82%

非平局

77%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • Severe squad shortage: Elche misses key players, leaving only 47% of their seasonal goal threat available
  • Dominant possession: FC Barcelona controlled recent matches with an average of 69% ball possession
  • Clear model prediction: The mathematical analysis calculates a strong 60% probability for an away win by FC Barcelona
风险因素
  • Offensive struggle for Elche: The home team averaged only 3.4 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Finishing slump: FC Barcelona's goal production is currently lagging at 1.6 compared to their season average of 2.5
概述

Elche host FC Barcelona at the Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

La Liga match on August 23, 2026, 7:30 PM

Elche currently sits in 9th place with 1 point from 1 match

Barcelona enter this game in 15th place with 0 games played

近期状态

Elche showing form DLWDD and a recent 1-1 draw against Deportivo La Coruña

1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches

FC Barcelona showing form WWLWL with a loss against Valencia in their last game

3 wins and 2 losses for the visitors in their recent run

Form-code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Elche scored an average of 1.29 goals per game last season while conceding 1.50

Strong home defensive record with only 0.83 goals conceded per game

FC Barcelona excelled offensively with an average of 2.50 goals per match

The Catalans conceded an average of 1.73 goals per away game

Both teams scored in 27 of Elche's 38 league matches

历史交锋

Two head-to-head matches in the database

FC Barcelona dominated both games with 2 wins

Goal ratio of 6:2 in favor of the Catalans

The last meeting ended in a 3-1 win for Barcelona on January 31, 2026

关键球员

Germán Valera scored 4 goals and provided 5 assists this season

Víctor Chust stands out in defense with rising form and a recent goal

Lamine Yamal leads the visitors' attack with 16 goals and 11 assists this season

Fermín López has contributed 6 goals and 9 assists for Barcelona so far

门将

Matías Dituro guards the goal for Elche, keeping 8 clean sheets this season

His form shows a slightly declining trend with a recent rating of 6.80

Joan García starts in goal for Barcelona, having kept 15 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

The historical home record on this pitch shows an average of 2.4 goals per game

Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 home games at this stadium

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