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La Liga

Espanyol - Real Madrid

08/22/2026, 07:30 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Espanyol
1.1
Total xG
2.8
Real Madrid
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%

2:1

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
ESPRM

Espanyol

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
-0.70
防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.28
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.16
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.16
排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第2位, 相差9位)
-0.11
Carlos Romero未进大名单 (6球, 3助攻)
Ludovic Taillandier未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
48%进球产出缺失 (仅72%可用)

Real Madrid

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.58倍)
+0.84
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.24
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.11
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第11位, 相差9位)
+0.07
Gonzalo García未进大名单 (6球, 1助攻)
Brahim Díaz替补席 (1球, 6助攻)
Trent Alexander-Arnold 替补席 (0球, 4助攻)
Thiago Pitarch未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
Raúl Asencio未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.6球 vs 总体2.2球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

25%

平局

28%

客胜

47%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

53%

客胜或平局

75%

非平局

72%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • Away advantage: Mathematical analysis calculates an away win for Real Madrid with a 47% probability
  • Tactical dominance: Real Madrid controlled an average of 61.6% possession in recent matches
  • Historical superiority: Real Madrid won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matches with an 8:2 goal difference
风险因素
  • Stalling attack: Real Madrid's goal production slowed recently to an average of 1.8 compared to their season average of 2.2
  • Squad depletion: Espanyol has to play without Carlos Romero (6 goals, 3 assists) and Ludovic Taillandier (3 goals)
概述

Espanyol hosts Real Madrid at the RCDE Stadium

La Liga match on August 22, 2026, 8:30 PM

Espanyol is currently in 2nd place with 3 points after one game played

Real Madrid plays its first game of the season and is in 15th place

近期状态

Espanyol's form is LWWDW with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Real Madrid's form is WLWWW with 4 wins and 1 loss

Espanyol remains stable after their 3-0 victory against Levante

Real Madrid travels with a streak of three consecutive victories

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Espanyol scored avg 1.13 goals and conceded avg 1.45 goals last season

At home Espanyol scored avg 1.11 goals and conceded avg 1.26 goals

Real Madrid scored avg 2.03 goals and conceded avg 0.92 goals per game

Away from home Real Madrid averaged 2.00 goals per game

The visitors' goal production slowed down recently to an average of 1.8 goals

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches Espanyol has 1 win and Real Madrid has 3 wins

The historical goal difference stands at 2:8 in favor of Real Madrid

The last match on May 3, 2026 ended with a 2-0 victory for Real Madrid

关键球员

Roberto Fernández scored 3 goals in his last 5 games with a season rating of 6.74

Tyrhys Dolan contributed 2 goals and 5 assists last season

Edu Expósito recorded 6 assists in 36 games last season

Kylian Mbappé scored 25 goals in 31 matches last season

Vinicius Junior has a season rating of 7.33 with 16 goals and 5 assists

Jude Bellingham scored 5 goals in his last 5 appearances

门将

Manuel Iori starts in goal for Espanyol

Espanyol's defense kept 10 clean sheets last season

Thibaut Courtois guards the goal for Real Madrid

Real Madrid's defense recorded 14 clean sheets last season

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the RCDE Stadium

The last 5 matches at this venue produced an average of 1.8 goals per game

Both teams scored in only 1 of the last 5 games at this stadium

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