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La Liga

Rayo Vallecano - Deportivo Alavés

08/20/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Rayo Vallecano
1.3
Total xG
3.3
Deportivo Alavés
1.9
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

1:2

10%

0:2

7%

2:1

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
RVDA

Rayo Vallecano

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.76倍)
-1.18
防守不足 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均2.2球)
-1.01
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.07
排名优势 (第8位 vs 第14位, 相差6位)
+0.04
Álvaro García替补席 (4球, 5助攻)
Randy Nteka替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
Pep Chavarría未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)

Deportivo Alavés

进攻实力 (联赛平均的2.18倍)
+1.93
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均0.7球)
+0.70
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第8位, 相差6位)
-0.12
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.01
Denis Suárez替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Victor Parada未进大名单 (0球, 3助攻)
Ibrahim Diabaté未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.34
+0.34
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

25%

平局

25%

客胜

51%

进球数

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

63%

Under 2.5

37%

Over 3.5

41%

Under 3.5

59%

双重机会

主胜或平局

49%

客胜或平局

75%

非平局

75%

双方进球

是

64%

否

36%

关键因素
  • Tactical difference: Alavés recently averaged 5.4 shots on target compared to Rayo's 4.2
  • Form of the visitors: Alavés travels as league leaders following a recent 3-0 victory
  • Statistical outlook: The mathematical model projects an away win probability of 51%
风险因素
  • Alavés struggles defensively away from home, conceding an average of 1.94 goals per away game
  • Rayo Vallecano's declining goal production with recently 1.2 goals compared to the season average of 1.5
概述

Rayo Vallecano host Deportivo Alavés

La Liga match on August 20, 2026, 9:00 PM

Match played at Estadio Municipal de Butarque

League leaders Alavés visit 17th-placed Rayo

近期状态

Rayo Vallecano enters with form DWWLL and two consecutive losses

Deportivo Alavés showing form DWWLW with a win in their last match

Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Rayo scores an average of 1.08 goals and concedes 1.16 per season

At home, Rayo concedes only 0.68 goals per game on average

Alavés scores 1.19 goals and concedes 1.94 per away game

历史交锋

There have been 5 head-to-head matches in total

Rayo Vallecano dominated with 4 wins compared to 1 win for Alavés

The last meeting ended 2-1 for Rayo Vallecano on May 23, 2026

关键球员

Jorge de Frutos scored 10 goals for Rayo Vallecano this season

Toni Martínez is Alavés' top threat with 14 goals

Lucas Boyé contributed 11 goals to the away team's attack

Not selected: Álvaro García (4T/5A), Randy Nteka (3T/0A), Pep Chavarría (1T/2A) and Denis Suárez (1T/2A), Victor Parada (0T/3A), Ibrahim Diabaté (2T/0A)

门将

Augusto Batalla achieved 12 clean sheets this season

Antonio Sivera kept 5 clean sheets for the visitors

影响因素

The match takes place at Estadio Municipal de Butarque on grass

The stadium averages 3.33 goals per match based on previous games

Rayo's strong home defense with only 0.68 goals conceded provides a statistical advantage

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