La Liga
Atlético de Madrid - Villarreal
08/23/2026, 03:00 PM
预期进球
1.8
3.2
1.3
1:1
12%2:1
9%2:0
7%1:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Atlético de Madrid
Villarreal
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
48%
平局
26%
客胜
27%
进球数
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
61%
Under 2.5
39%
Over 3.5
39%
Under 3.5
61%
双重机会
主胜或平局
73%
客胜或平局
52%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
63%
否
37%
关键因素
- The mathematical model predicts a 48% home win probability and 1.83 expected goals for Atlético
- Villarreal are currently scoring more frequently with an average of 2.0 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.7
- Villarreal averaged a dangerous 4.6 shots on target in their recent matches
风险因素
- Antoine Griezmann, Álex Baena, Marcos Llorente, and Matteo Ruggeri are missing from the squad, leaving only 65% of the goal threat available
- Villarreal concede a vulnerable average of 2.08 goals per away match
- Atlético's goal production has stalled recently, averaging 1.2 goals compared to their season average of 1.9
概述
Atlético de Madrid host Villarreal at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano
La Liga match on August 23, 2026, 5:00 PM
Atlético are in 4th place with 3 points, while Villarreal are in 7th with 1 point
An early key clash in the young season
近期状态
Atlético's form stands at LWWLW with 3 wins and 2 losses from their recent matches
Most recently, they secured a 2-0 home win against Málaga
Villarreal show a record of DLLWD, consisting of 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
The visitors started their campaign with a 2-2 draw against Racing Santander
统计数据
Atlético de Madrid average 1.62 goals scored and only 0.71 goals conceded at home
Villarreal are dangerous away from home, averaging 1.85 goals scored but also conceding 2.08 goals
Atlético's home record shows 8 clean sheets in 24 matches, while Villarreal kept only 3 clean sheets in 13 away games
历史交锋
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, the record is even with 1 home win, 1 away win, and 2 draws
The last encounter on May 24, 2026, ended in a clear 5-1 victory for Villarreal
A total of 14 goals were scored in these matches, 6 for Atlético and 8 for Villarreal
关键球员
Ademola Lookman is in focus, having already scored 4 goals this season
The attack features Georges Mikautadze with 13 season goals and Ayoze Pérez with a rising form trend and 3 goals in his last games
Nicolas Pépé also shines with a tally of 8 goals and 8 assists this season
门将
Jan Oblak has played 30 times in goal this season, showing a rising form trend
On the other side, Luiz Júnior starts in goal, whose form trend has recently been declining
There are 14 clean sheets for the home side compared to 8 for the visitors
影响因素
The match is played on grass at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano
The venue history shows an average of 2.2 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 2 of the last 5 matches
Atlético benefit from a stable home defense with only 0.71 goals conceded per home game