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La Liga

Osasuna - Getafe

08/31/2026, 05:30 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Osasuna
1.1
Total xG
1.8
Getafe
0.7
最可能的比分

0:0

18%

1:0

16%

1:1

14%

0:1

10%

2:0

10%
xG 分解
OSAGET

Osasuna

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.27
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.21
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
-0.15
排名劣势 (第17位 vs 第7位, 相差10位)
-0.12
Enzo Boyomo替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Valentin Rosier未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)

Getafe

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.55倍)
-0.66
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.07
状态上升 (1.2 vs 1 赛季平均)
+0.07
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第17位, 相差10位)
+0.03
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.01
Abdel Abqar未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅60%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.36
+0.36
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

43%

平局

35%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

56%

Under 1.5

44%

Over 2.5

27%

Under 2.5

73%

Over 3.5

11%

Under 3.5

89%

双重机会

主胜或平局

78%

客胜或平局

57%

非平局

65%

双方进球

36%

64%

关键因素
  • Tactical metrics: Osasuna averaged 6.2 shots on target in recent matches
  • Mathematical prediction: The calculation model forecasts a home win with a 43% probability
  • Low goal threat: Getafe scores rarely on the road, averaging only 0.82 goals per away game this season
风险因素
  • Abdel Abqar is missing, leaving only 60% of Getafe's usual offensive danger available
  • The model predicts a low-scoring game with only a 27% probability for over 2.5 goals
  • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Osasuna only managed 1 win against Getafe
概述

Osasuna (8th place, 4 points) host Getafe (13th place, 3 points) at the Estadio El Sadar

La Liga match on August 31, 2026, 5:30 PM

Both teams aim to establish themselves in the mid-table

近期状态

Osasuna holds the form LLLDW with a win in their last match

Getafe comes in with the form WLWWL

Osasuna's goalscoring has stalled recently, averaging 1.0 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.5

统计数据

Osasuna scored 1.16 goals per game and conceded 1.32 this season

Getafe averages 0.84 goals scored and 1.00 conceded

Osasuna concedes only 0.89 goals per game at home on average

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in recent years

Getafe won 2 games, Osasuna secured 1 win, and 1 ended in a draw

The last meeting ended in a 1:0 victory for Getafe

关键球员

Ante Budimir shines with 17 season goals and a rating of 6.98

Rubén García contributed 2 goals and 5 assists

Alejandro Catena stabilizes with a rating of 6.87

Martín Satriano has scored 6 season goals with a rating of 6.96

Kiko Femenía recorded 1 goal and 1 assist

David Soria convinces with a strong goalkeeper rating of 6.94

门将

Sergio Herrera plays for Osasuna and kept 7 clean sheets this season

David Soria recorded 12 clean sheets for Getafe

David Soria shows a rising form trend with a recent rating of 7.56

影响因素

Matches at Estadio El Sadar averaged 2.4 goals in recent games

Osasuna's home win is mathematically calculated at 43%

The model predicts a tight match with 1.10 expected home goals and 0.71 away goals

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