La Liga
Sevilla - Atlético de Madrid
08/29/2026, 07:30 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.6
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Sevilla
Atlético de Madrid
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
45%
平局
29%
客胜
26%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
双重机会
主胜或平局
74%
客胜或平局
55%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- Critical squad impact: Sevilla has only 34% of their usual goal-scoring strength available, missing Djibril Sow, Oso, and José Ángel Carmona
- Scoring trend divergence: Sevilla is currently scoring more frequently (1.6) than their seasonal average (1.3), while Atlético's goal production has slowed down to 1.6 from a seasonal average of 1.9
- Tactical metrics: Sevilla averaged 4.2 shots on target with 41.6% possession recently, while Atlético averaged 4.4 shots on target with 49.2% possession
风险因素
- Heavily depleted Sevilla squad with only 34% active starting XI offensive power
- Vulnerable Atlético away defense, conceding 1.93 goals per away match on average
- Atlético's historical upper hand with 3 victories out of the last 4 direct meetings
概述
Sevilla (4th place, 6 points) host Atlético de Madrid (6th place, 4 points) at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
La Liga match on August 29, 2026, 9:30 PM
Upper-table clash between two ambitious clubs
近期状态
Sevilla in recent form of WLLWW with two consecutive victories
3 wins and 2 losses in their last matches
Atlético de Madrid holding a form of WWLWD
Most recently a 2-2 draw against Villarreal and a 2-0 win over Málaga
统计数据
Sevilla averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.58 goals conceded per match this season
At home, they scored an average of 1.2 and conceded 1.25 goals
Atlético de Madrid averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.16 goals conceded overall
In away matches, Atlético's defense is weaker, conceding an average of 1.93 goals
历史交锋
4 head-to-head matches in recent history
Atlético de Madrid dominate with 3 wins compared to 1 win for Sevilla
Goal difference of 10-6 in favor of Atlético
The last meeting on April 11, 2026, ended in a 2-1 home victory for Sevilla
关键球员
Lucien Agoumé anchors Sevilla's midfield with an average rating of 6.83
Peque Fernández has scored 2 goals for the home side this season
Giuliano Simeone leads Atlético's attack with 4 goals and 6 assists
Álex Baena contributed 2 goals and 3 assists for the visitors
门将
Odysseas Vlachodimos features in goal for Sevilla with a 6.74 rating
Jan Oblak commands Atlético's goal with 14 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Home advantage at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán on a grass pitch
The stadium statistics show an average of 2.2 goals per match
Both teams scored in 60% of the last 5 games at this venue