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La Liga

Deportivo La Coruña - Valencia

08/30/2026, 05:30 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
Deportivo La Coruña
1.2
Total xG
2.4
Valencia
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

1:0

9%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
DLCVAL

Deportivo La Coruña

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.63倍)
-0.85
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.45
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.20
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
-0.20

Valencia

状态上升 (2 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.20
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.17
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.07
Hugo Duro替补席 (10球, 0助攻)
Diego López未进大名单 (4球, 1助攻)
Guido Rodríguez未进大名单 (4球, 0助攻)
42%进球产出缺失 (仅80%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

35%

平局

31%

客胜

34%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

66%

客胜或平局

65%

非平局

69%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • Highly balanced matchup: The mathematical model estimates a 35% probability for a home win and 34% for an away win
  • Valencia's lineup absences: Not nominated for the starting eleven are Hugo Duro with 10 goals, Diego López with 4 goals, and Guido Rodríguez with 4 goals
  • Counter-attacking tactical focus: Both teams recently played counter-oriented styles averaging 4.0 shots on target per match
风险因素
  • Away weakness of Valencia: The visitors concede an average of 2.0 goals per away match
  • Limited data availability regarding home team player form and historical head-to-head statistics
概述

Deportivo La Coruña host Valencia at Estadio Abanca-Riazor

La Liga match on August 30, 2026, 7:30 PM

Early bottom-table clash between 13th and 17th position

Both teams are still searching for their first win of the season

近期状态

Deportivo La Coruña form: WWLDD

The hosts recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss recently

The home team finished with two consecutive draws

Valencia form: DWWDL with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss

The visitors suffered a defeat in their most recent match

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Deportivo La Coruña averages 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded per match this season

In home matches, the hosts average 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 goal conceded

Valencia's season average stands at 1.21 goals scored and 1.45 goals conceded per game

In away matches, Valencia concedes an average of 2.0 goals

The hosts' goal production is currently stagnant, averaging 1.0 goal compared to their season average of 1.7

Valencia is scoring more frequently recently with 2.0 goals per match compared to their season average of 1.4

关键球员

Javi Guerra with 4 goals and 6 assists this season, showing a rising form trend with 3 goals in the last 5 matches

Luis Rioja has recorded 3 goals and 6 assists during the current campaign

Umar Sadiq contributed 4 goals and 2 assists so far but shows a declining form trend

门将

Leo Román is in goal for Deportivo La Coruña, which has recorded 2 clean sheets so far this season

Stole Dimitrievski is in goal for Valencia and has recorded 9 clean sheets this season, showing a declining form trend recently

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Abanca-Riazor

The venue's historical average is 1.5 goals per match, with none of the last 4 games exceeding 2.5 goals

Both teams scored in half of the matches played at this stadium

Valencia's away weakness is reflected in an average of 2.0 goals conceded per away game

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