La Liga
Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal
08/28/2026, 07:30 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.5
1.3
1:1
14%1:2
8%2:1
8%0:2
6%2:0
6%xG 分解
Deportivo Alavés
Villarreal
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
34%
平局
30%
客胜
35%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
65%
客胜或平局
66%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- Strong offenses: Both teams were active recently, averaging 5.2 shots on target per match for Alavés and 5.4 for Villarreal
- Villarreal's rising trend: The visitors are scoring more recently, averaging 2.2 goals per match compared to their season average of 1.8
- Balanced prediction: The model calculates an almost identical win probability of 35% for Villarreal and 35% for Alavés
风险因素
- Vulnerable away defense: Villarreal concede an average of 2.08 goals per away match this season
- Shorter recovery time: Villarreal enter the match with only 5 days of rest since their last game, compared to 8 days for Alavés
- Missing key players: Alberto Moleiro (10 goals, 5 assists) and Ayoze Pérez (5 goals, 4 assists) are missing from Villarreal's squad
概述
Deportivo Alavés host Villarreal at the Estadio de Mendizorroza
La Liga match on August 28, 2026, 9:30 PM
Alavés sit in 5th place with 4 points, while Villarreal are in 10th place with 2 points
近期状态
Alavés form: WWLWD with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Villarreal form: LLWDD with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Alavés recently drew against Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal recorded a recent draw against Atlético de Madrid
统计数据
Alavés scored 44 goals and conceded 56 this season
Villarreal scored 72 goals and conceded 46
Alavés averaged 1.14 goals scored per home game
Villarreal concede an average of 2.08 goals in away games
历史交锋
4 head-to-head matches in the database
1 win for Deportivo Alavés, 2 wins for Villarreal, and 1 draw
Goal difference of 3 to 7 goals in favor of Villarreal
The last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw on March 13, 2026
关键球员
Toni Martínez (14 goals), Lucas Boyé (11 goals), and Nahuel Tenaglia (2 goals) lead Alavés
Georges Mikautadze (13 goals, 6 assists), Nicolas Pépé (8 goals, 8 assists), and Gerard Moreno (10 goals) represent Villarreal
Mikautadze shows rising form with 3 goals in his last 5 matches
门将
Antonio Sivera guards the goal for Alavés and kept 5 clean sheets
Luiz Júnior starts in goal for Villarreal with 8 clean sheets recorded
影响因素
The Estadio de Mendizorroza averages 3.2 total goals per match
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 home games on natural grass
The venue shows an Over 2.5 goals rate of 80%