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La Liga

Celta de Vigo - Athletic Club

08/30/2026, 07:30 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
Celta de Vigo
1.1
Total xG
2.1
Athletic Club
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

1:0

11%

0:1

11%

2:1

7%
xG 分解
CDVAC

Celta de Vigo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.63倍)
-0.84
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.15
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第12位, 相差6位)
+0.03
Iago Aspas替补席 (5球, 3助攻)
Javi Rueda替补席 (2球, 6助攻)
Fer López未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
30%进球产出缺失 (仅70%可用)

Athletic Club

防守实力 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.51
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.12
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.12
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第6位, 相差6位)
-0.07
Gorka Guruzeta替补席 (10球, 3助攻)
Mikel Jauregizar替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
Unai Gómez未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
15%进球产出缺失 (仅100%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.34
+0.34
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

34%

平局

33%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

66%

非平局

67%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • Celta de Vigo is squad-weakened and must cope without key offensive contributors Iago Aspas, Javi Rueda, and Fer López, leaving only about 70% of their usual goal threat
  • Athletic Club showed more direct play in recent matches, averaging 4.6 shots on target per game compared to Celta de Vigo's 3.2
  • Both offenses are struggling recently as Celta de Vigo averages 1.3 goals (season average 1.5) and Athletic Club is down to 0.8 goals (season average 1.2)
风险因素
  • Both Celta de Vigo and Athletic Club have to cope with a short preparation window of only 3 days since their last match
  • Athletic Club showed defensive vulnerabilities on the road last season, conceding a high average of 1.95 goals per away game
  • Celta de Vigo created very little threat recently, averaging just 3.2 shots on target per match
概述

Celta de Vigo (16th place, 1 point) host Athletic Club (20th place, 0 points) at the Estadio de Balaídos

La Liga match on August 30, 2026, 7:30 PM

Both teams are already under pressure after a weak start to the season

近期状态

Celta de Vigo shows a form of LDWDL and recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five matches

Most recently the home side suffered a 1-2 defeat against Osasuna

Athletic Club travels with a form of LDLLL and a record of 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses

The visitors recently suffered a 0-2 away defeat against FC Barcelona

统计数据

Last season Celta de Vigo averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.26 goals conceded per match

At home, the team averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded

Athletic Club scored an average of 1.13 goals and conceded 1.53 goals per game

Away from home, the visitors conceded a high average of 1.95 goals per match

历史交锋

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Celta de Vigo recorded 1 win, Athletic Club won 2, and 1 match ended in a draw

The overall goal ratio in these encounters stands at 5-6

Their most recent duel on May 17, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw

关键球员

Ferran Jutglà stood out with 9 goals and 3 assists in 30 appearances with a 6.91 rating

Williot Swedberg contributed 5 goals and 5 assists with a 6.74 rating

Ilaix Moriba recorded 2 goals and 3 assists in 36 matches with a 6.83 rating

For the visitors, Iñaki Williams recorded 3 goals and 6 assists in 30 games with a 6.69 rating

Robert Navarro contributed 6 goals and 1 assist in 32 matches with a 6.7 rating

Oihan Sancet registered 4 goals in 28 games with a 6.71 rating

门将

Ionuț Radu made 38 appearances last season with an average rating of 6.89

Unai Simón stood in goal 37 times with an average rating of 6.78

Ionuț Radu recorded 10 clean sheets, while Unai Simón kept 6 clean sheets

影响因素

The Estadio de Balaídos saw a high average of 3.4 goals per match in recent fixtures

Both teams scored and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games at this venue

The surface is natural grass

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