🇪🇸

La Liga

Racing Santander - Elche

08/28/2026, 05:00 PM

3 : 2
预期进球
Racing Santander
1.1
Total xG
2.5
Elche
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

0:2

9%

2:1

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
RSELC

Racing Santander

防守不足 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.23
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.2球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
-0.14
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.04

Elche

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
+0.53
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.17
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.17
Tete Morente替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
48%进球产出缺失 (仅62%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.4球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

25%

平局

29%

客胜

45%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

55%

客胜或平局

75%

非平局

71%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • Elche is missing key player Tete Morente, leaving only 63% of their usual goal threat available
  • Tactical focus: Racing Santander recently played counter-oriented with 42% average possession and 4.0 shots on target, while Elche averaged 2.8 shots on target
  • Mathematical model predicts an away win with a 45% probability and expects 1.48 goals for Elche compared to 1.05 for Racing Santander
风险因素
  • Limited data availability for head-to-head history and home player form statistics
  • Elche shows severe defensive issues on the road with an average of 2.53 goals conceded per away match
  • The absence of Tete Morente significantly weakens the visitor's offense to 63% of seasonal goals
概述

Racing Santander hosts Elche at the Campos de Sport de El Sardinero

La Liga match on August 28, 2026, 7:00 PM

Both teams sit in the lower third of the table with one point after two matches

近期状态

Racing Santander has a form of WWLDL in the last five matches

Last match resulted in a 0-1 loss against Getafe

Elche shows a form of LWDDL

Most recently suffered a heavy 0-5 defeat against FC Barcelona

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Racing Santander averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded per season match

In their only home game they conceded 3.0 goals

Elche concedes an extremely high average of 2.53 goals per away match

Their away scoring average stands at 1.27 goals per game

关键球员

Facundo González holds an average rating of 7.2 at the venue

Manu Hernando impresses with an average rating of 6.76 at the venue

Germán Valera has recorded 4 goals and 5 assists for the visitors

Pedro Bigas contributed 1 goal and 3 assists so far

门将

Julen Agirrezabala starts in goal for the hosts and kept 1 clean sheet this season

Matías Dituro has an average season rating of 7.09 and recorded 8 clean sheets

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Campos de Sport de El Sardinero

The venue history shows an average of 3.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 67% of the matches at this venue

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。