🇪🇸

La Liga

FC Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano

08/31/2026, 07:30 PM

5 : 2
预期进球
FC Barcelona
2.0
Total xG
2.9
Rayo Vallecano
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
FBRV

FC Barcelona

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.61
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
-0.09
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第8位, 相差7位)
+0.07
Robert Lewandowski未进大名单 (14球, 2助攻)
Fermín López替补席 (6球, 9助攻)
Eric García替补席 (1球, 2助攻)

Rayo Vallecano

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.07
排名劣势 (第8位 vs 第1位, 相差7位)
-0.07
Isi Palazón未进大名单 (3球, 3助攻)
Andrei Rațiu替补席 (0球, 4助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.36
+0.36
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

60%

平局

24%

客胜

16%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

双重机会

主胜或平局

84%

客胜或平局

40%

非平局

76%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • Mathematical advantage: The prediction model calculates a 60% home win probability for Barcelona
  • Home strength vs away weakness: Barcelona averages 2.48 goals scored at home, while Rayo concedes 1.81 goals on average away
  • Tactical dominance: Barcelona recently averaged 68% possession, exerting high control on the pitch
风险因素
  • Fitness advantage for Rayo Vallecano with 11 days of rest compared to only 4 days for Barcelona
  • FC Barcelona's goal production has stalled recently, averaging 2.2 goals compared to their season average of 2.5
  • Key offensive player missing: Robert Lewandowski (14 goals, 2 assists) is not in the home team's squad
概述

FC Barcelona hosts Rayo Vallecano at the Camp Nou

La Liga match on August 31, 2026, 8:30 PM

The hosts are currently in 4th place with 6 points from 2 games

The visitors are in 16th place with 1 point

Barcelona enters this match as favorites

近期状态

Barcelona's recent form across all competitions is LWLWW

The home team achieved 3 wins and suffered 2 losses

Rayo Vallecano travels with a form of WWLLD

The visitors recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their recent matches

Barcelona recently celebrated a 2-0 home win against Athletic Club

Rayo Vallecano recorded a 1-1 draw against Deportivo Alavés in their last match

统计数据

Barcelona averages 2.5 goals scored and 0.95 goals conceded per match this season

In home matches, their average stands at 2.48 goals scored and only 0.43 conceded

Rayo Vallecano averages 1.08 goals scored and 1.16 goals conceded per game

The visitors concede an average of 1.81 goals in away matches

Barcelona has already kept 15 clean sheets this season

Rayo Vallecano has managed to keep 12 clean sheets so far

历史交锋

There have been 4 head-to-head matches between these teams

Barcelona celebrated 3 wins, while Rayo Vallecano remains winless with 1 draw

The overall goal difference stands at 5:2 in favor of Barcelona

The last encounter on March 22, 2026, ended in a 1-0 home victory for Barcelona

关键球员

Lamine Yamal shines for the Catalan side with 16 goals and 11 assists this season

Raphinha has already scored 13 goals and provided 3 assists

Dani Olmo contributes 7 goals and 8 assists for Barcelona

Jorge de Frutos is the most dangerous attacker for the visitors with 10 goals and 1 assist

Sergio Camello has scored 5 goals so far this season

Álvaro García contributed 4 goals and 5 assists for Rayo Vallecano

门将

Joan García guards the goal for the Catalans and averages a 6.97 rating in his recent matches

Barcelona has kept a total of 15 clean sheets this season

On the other side, Dani Cárdenas guards the goal for Rayo Vallecano

Cárdenas has a strong average rating of 7.56 in his last two games

影响因素

Barcelona possesses a tremendous home record with 57 goals scored and only 10 conceded in 23 home matches

The Camp Nou averages 2.8 total goals per game in recent matches

The grass pitch at the Camp Nou offers familiar conditions for the home side

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。