La Liga
Málaga - Levante
09/06/2026, 04:30 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.9
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
9%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Málaga
Levante
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
31%
平局
28%
客胜
41%
进球数
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
双重机会
主胜或平局
59%
客胜或平局
69%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
60%
否
40%
关键因素
- Offensive form: Levante are currently scoring more frequently, averaging 2.0 goals compared to their seasonal average of 1.4
- Tactical shooting advantage: Levante averaged 4.2 shots on target in recent matches, while Málaga averaged only 2.8
- Model prediction: The mathematical analysis favors the visitors, calculating an away win probability of 41%
风险因素
- Weakened Levante squad: The visitors travel with only 67% of their usual starting lineup strength available
- Vulnerable away defense: Levante concede an average of 1.94 goals per match on their travels
- Lack of offensive threat: Málaga averaged only 2.8 shots on target per match in recent games
概述
Málaga host Levante at the Estadio La Rosaleda
Match on September 6, 2026, 6:30 PM
Málaga are in 20th place with one point from three matches
Levante sit in 10th place with four points
The hosts are already under pressure after a weak start to the season
近期状态
Málaga's recent form is WLLDL with one win, one draw, and three losses
In their last match, they suffered a heavy 0-4 defeat against Real Madrid
Levante travel with a form of WLLDW and a record of two wins, one draw, and two losses
Levante recently celebrated a 5-2 victory against Real Betis
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Málaga scored 4 goals in 2 matches this season, averaging 2.0 goals per game
Defensively, the hosts conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match
Levante scored an average of 1.24 goals per game over 38 league matches
However, in away games, Levante concede an average of 1.94 goals
Levante's overall record stands at 47 goals scored and 61 conceded in 38 matches
关键球员
David Larrubia performed strongly at home with an average rating of 7.25
Chupe has already scored a home goal and holds a rating of 7.2 at the venue
Alfonso Herrero impresses in goal with a home rating of 7.17
For the visitors, Iván Romero has scored 7 goals and provided 1 assist this season
Jon Ander Olasagasti contributed 1 goal and 5 assists during the current campaign
Roger Brugué scored three goals in his last 5 appearances with an average rating of 6.84
门将
Alfonso Herrero guards the goal for Málaga and holds a rating of 7.17 in home matches
Mathew Ryan stands between the posts for Levante with a seasonal average of 7.13
Ryan recently improved to an average rating of 7.45 in his past matches
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio La Rosaleda
The only home game played at this venue so far ended in a 1-1 draw
That match featured 2 goals with both teams finding the back of the net