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La Liga

Rayo Vallecano - Racing Santander

09/05/2026, 04:30 PM

3 : 2
预期进球
Rayo Vallecano
0.9
Total xG
1.7
Racing Santander
0.8
最可能的比分

0:0

20%

1:1

15%

1:0

14%

0:1

13%

2:0

7%
xG 分解
RVRS

Rayo Vallecano

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.08
Isi Palazón未进大名单 (3球, 3助攻)

Racing Santander

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-1.76
进攻实力 (联赛平均的2.22倍)
+1.49
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.20
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (1.4 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.14
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

34%

平局

37%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

53%

Under 1.5

47%

Over 2.5

25%

Under 2.5

75%

Over 3.5

10%

Under 3.5

90%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

66%

非平局

63%

双方进球

35%

65%

关键因素
  • Limited away attack: Racing Santander has only 0% of their usual goal threat available according to the dataset
  • Rayo Vallecano averaged 3.8 shots on target in recent matches compared to Racing Santander's average of 4.0
  • The mathematical model forecasts a close contest with a 37% probability for a draw
风险因素
  • Rayo Vallecano's goalscoring has stalled recently at 1.2 goals per game compared to their seasonal average of 1.5
  • Racing Santander's goal production is also stalling at 1.4 goals per game against a seasonal average of 1.9
  • Limited data availability for visitor player statistics and lack of historical head-to-head matches
概述

Rayo Vallecano (18th place, 1 point) faces Racing Santander (10th place, 4 points)

La Liga match on September 5, 2026, 6:30 PM at Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Rayo Vallecano is still searching for their first win of the season

近期状态

Rayo Vallecano has a form of WLLDL with a loss in their last match

The home team recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their recent games

Racing Santander travels with a form of WLDLW and a victory in their last game

The visitors recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their recent matches

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Rayo Vallecano averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.16 goals conceded last season

Racing Santander average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded this season

The away team has conceded only 0.33 goals per game on the road this season

历史交锋

There are no recorded head-to-head matches for this fixture in the dataset

关键球员

Sergio Camello recently recorded 4 goals and 1 assist with an average rating of 7.33

Jorge de Frutos contributes 10 goals and 1 assist this season

Álvaro García records 4 goals and 5 assists this season

Not in squad is Isi Palazón with 3 goals and 3 assists

No individual player statistics available for Racing Santander

门将

Dani Cárdenas is in goal for Rayo Vallecano with a seasonal average rating of 7.54

Julen Agirrezabala guards the goal for Racing Santander

影响因素

The match takes place at Estadio Municipal de Butarque

The historical average at this venue is 3.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 75% of previous matches at this stadium

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