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La Liga

Valencia - FC Barcelona

09/06/2026, 02:15 PM

0 : 5
预期进球
Valencia
1.0
Total xG
2.5
FC Barcelona
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

0:2

9%

2:1

6%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
VALFB

Valencia

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
-0.90
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.36
状态上升 (2 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.20
排名劣势 (第9位 vs 第1位, 相差8位)
-0.09
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.08
Hugo Duro替补席 (10球, 0助攻)
Luis Rioja未进大名单 (3球, 6助攻)
Guido Rodríguez未进大名单 (4球, 0助攻)
52%进球产出缺失 (仅59%可用)

FC Barcelona

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.57倍)
+0.34
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3.2球)
+0.20
状态上升 (3.2 vs 2.6 赛季平均)
+0.20
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第9位, 相差8位)
+0.06
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.05
Marc Bernal替补席 (2球, 1助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.41
+0.41
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

24%

平局

29%

客胜

47%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

53%

客胜或平局

76%

非平局

71%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Tactical dominance: FC Barcelona averaged 7.8 shots on target and 66% possession in recent matches
  • Offensive trend: FC Barcelona currently scores more frequently (3.2 goals per game) than their season average (2.6)
  • Individual form: Raphinha averages 1.67 goals per 90 minutes in recent matches
风险因素
  • Hugo Duro, Luis Rioja, Guido Rodríguez are missing, only 59% of the usual goal threat is available
  • Defensive instability: Valencia conceded an average of 2.0 goals per match in recent games
  • Limited data availability for weather conditions
概述

Valencia host FC Barcelona at the Estadio de Mestalla

La Liga match on September 6, 2026, 3:15 PM

The league leaders face the winless home team currently in 18th place

近期状态

Valencia struggle with only one point from three games and a form of WWDLL

Barcelona arrive with a perfect record of three wins and a form of WLWWW

The visitors won their last three league games in a row

统计数据

Barcelona shined last season with an average of 2.50 goals scored per match

Valencia averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.45 goals conceded

On the road Barcelona averaged 2.53 goals scored last season

历史交锋

Five head-to-head matches show a clear dominance of Barcelona with four wins

The goal difference in these matches is 21:5 in favor of the Catalans

However the last meeting in May 2026 ended in a 3:1 home victory for Valencia

关键球员

Valencia rely on Javi Guerra with four goals and Arnaut Danjuma with three goals

Filip Ugrinic supports the midfield with three season assists

Barcelona are led by Lamine Yamal with 16 goals and Raphinha with 13 goals

门将

Stole Dimitrievski guards the goal for Valencia with a declining form trend

Joan García starts in goal for FC Barcelona

Both goalkeepers show a downward trend in their recent match ratings

影响因素

The match will be played on a natural grass surface

Historically Mestalla matches average 1.8 goals per game

The model calculates a 51% probability of both teams scoring

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