Ligue 1
LOSC Lille - Lorient
03/08/2026, 04:15 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.8
1.1
1:1
13%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
LOSC Lille
Lorient
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
28%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
56%
否
44%
关键因素
- Matchup advantage: Lille's solid home offense (1.58 goals) faces Lorient's vulnerable away defense (2.86 goals conceded)
- Current form: Lille is on a run of 3 consecutive wins, while Lorient recently achieved 2 draws
- Historical dominance: Lille has played a dominant role in recent head-to-head encounters
风险因素
- Lorient's away defense concedes an average of 2.86 goals per game
- Lille's goal production is currently stagnant at 1.0 goals, below the season average of 1.6 goals
概述
LOSC Lille (6th place, 40 points) host Lorient (10th place, 33 points) at Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Ligue 1 match on March 8, 2026, 5:15 PM
Lille aims to solidify a European qualification spot, while Lorient seeks to improve its mid-table position
The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 47%
近期状态
LOSC Lille's form across all competitions is DLWWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Lille achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
They have 3 consecutive wins recently
Lorient's form across all competitions is WLWDD
Lorient achieved 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
They have 2 consecutive draws recently
LOSC Lille's goal production is stagnant at 1.0 goals, while the season average is 1.6 goals
Lorient is currently scoring more with 1.8 goals than their season average of 1.5 goals
统计数据
LOSC Lille's season average is 1.54 goals scored per game and 1.29 goals conceded
Lille kept 8 clean sheets this season
In home games, Lille averages 1.58 goals scored and 1.08 goals conceded
Lorient's season average is 1.42 goals scored per game and 1.58 goals conceded
Lorient kept 5 clean sheets this season
In away games, Lorient averages 1.43 goals scored and 2.86 goals conceded
At Stade Pierre-Mauroy, an average of 2.0 total goals are scored per game
Both teams scored in 2 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 of 5 games
The model predicts 1.62 expected home goals and 1.14 expected away goals
A 'both teams to score' bet is rated at 56%
Over 2.5 goals are calculated at 52%
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, LOSC Lille won 3 times and Lorient won 2 times, with no draws
Lille scored 15 goals in these matches, while Lorient scored 8 goals
The last encounter took place on August 30, 2025, with Lorient winning 7:1
LOSC Lille has been dominant in recent encounters
关键球员
For LOSC Lille, Olivier Giroud (5 goals, 1 assist, Avg 6.85) with stable form, Félix Correia (3 goals, 5 assists, Avg 6.94) with stable form, and Håkon Arnar Haraldsson (5 goals, 1 assist, Avg 6.99) with declining form are key players
Not nominated: Romain Perraud (2G/3A)
For Lorient, Bamba Dieng (6 goals, 1 assist, Avg 7.04) with stable form, Théo Le Bris (2 goals, 2 assists, Avg 6.91) with rising form, and Jean-Victor Makengo (3 goals, 2 assists, Avg 6.95) with rising form are key players
Not nominated: Pablo Pagis (8G/1A)
门将
LOSC Lille's goalkeeper is Berke Özer
Lille has kept 8 clean sheets this season
Lorient's goalkeeper is Yvon Mvogo
Lorient has kept 5 clean sheets this season
影响因素
LOSC Lille shows an average home offense of 1.58 goals and a defense of 1.08 goals conceded
Lorient scores an average of 1.43 goals away and concedes 2.86 goals
Stade Pierre-Mauroy has a record of averaging 2.0 goals per game
The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 47%