🇪🇸

La Liga

Getafe - Celta de Vigo

09/07/2026, 05:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Getafe
1.2
Total xG
2.0
Celta de Vigo
0.7
最可能的比分

1:0

16%

0:0

16%

1:1

14%

2:0

11%

0:1

8%
xG 分解
GETCDV

Getafe

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.68倍)
-0.59
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.58
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
+0.01

Celta de Vigo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.7倍)
-0.73
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.32
状态下滑 (0.7 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
-0.24
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
Ferran Jutglà替补席 (9球, 3助攻)
Williot Swedberg替补席 (5球, 5助攻)
Javi Rueda替补席 (2球, 6助攻)
Sergio Carreira替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
40%进球产出缺失 (仅55%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.5球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.47
+0.47
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

48%

平局

33%

客胜

19%

进球数

Over 1.5

60%

Under 1.5

40%

Over 2.5

31%

Under 2.5

69%

Over 3.5

14%

Under 3.5

87%

双重机会

主胜或平局

81%

客胜或平局

52%

非平局

67%

双方进球

38%

62%

关键因素
  • Getafe show strong defensive stability at home, conceding an average of just 0.76 goals per home match
  • Celta de Vigo's goalscoring has stalled, averaging only 0.67 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.47
  • Mathematical analysis favors Getafe with a 48% probability of a home win
风险因素
  • Ferran Jutglà, Williot Swedberg, Javi Rueda, Sergio Carreira are missing, with only 56% of attacking threat available
  • Both teams averaged low attacking threat recently with under 3 shots on target per match (Getafe 2.6, Celta 2.4)
  • Celta de Vigo have a shorter recovery window with only 4 days of rest since their last match
概述

Getafe (15th place, 3 points) host Celta de Vigo (17th place, 2 points) at the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez

La Liga match on September 7, 2026, 7:00 PM

A crucial bottom-table clash where both sides desperately need points

近期状态

Getafe enter the match with a form of LWWLL across all competitions

The home team recorded two consecutive defeats in their recent outings

Celta de Vigo travel with a form of WDLLD

The visitors are winless in their last four league matches

统计数据

Getafe score an average of 0.84 goals and concede 1 goal per match this season

At home, the hosts concede an average of just 0.76 goals per game

Celta de Vigo average 1.41 goals scored and 1.18 goals conceded away from home

The visitors failed to score in 6 of their 38 matches this season

历史交锋

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Getafe won 1, Celta de Vigo won 2, and 1 ended in a draw

The goal difference is balanced at 3:3

The last meeting on February 1, 2026, ended in a 0:0 draw

关键球员

Martín Satriano already scored 6 goals for the home team this season

Zaid Romero anchors the defense with 1 goal and a season average rating of 6.98

Kiko Femenía contributed 1 goal and 1 assist this season

Iago Aspas leads the visitors' attack with 5 goals and 3 assists

Ilaix Moriba contributed 2 goals and 3 assists in midfield

Pablo Durán recorded 2 goals and 2 assists so far this season

门将

David Soria kept 12 clean sheets for Getafe this season

Ionuț Radu registered 10 clean sheets in 38 appearances for Celta de Vigo

影响因素

Getafe benefit from strong home defensive numbers, conceding only 16 goals in 21 home matches

The stadium averages 2.4 total goals per game

The match will be played on natural grass

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。