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La Liga

Villarreal - Deportivo La Coruña

09/05/2026, 07:00 PM

2 : 3
预期进球
Villarreal
1.2
Total xG
2.0
Deportivo La Coruña
0.8
最可能的比分

0:0

15%

1:1

15%

1:0

15%

2:0

10%

0:1

9%
xG 分解
VILDLC

Villarreal

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.22倍)
-0.74
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.03
Georges Mikautadze替补席 (13球, 6助攻)
Santi Comesaña替补席 (3球, 6助攻)
Santiago Mouriño替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
10%进球产出缺失 (仅85%可用)

Deportivo La Coruña

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-2.21
进攻实力 (联赛平均的2.91倍)
+1.94
防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.35
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.20
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.20
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

44%

平局

34%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

61%

Under 1.5

39%

Over 2.5

32%

Under 2.5

68%

Over 3.5

14%

Under 3.5

86%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

56%

非平局

66%

双方进球

40%

60%

关键因素
  • Villarreal averaged 5.8 shots on target and 55.6% possession in recent matches
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a 44% probability of a home win
  • Deportivo La Coruña's goal scoring has slowed down to 1.2 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.9
风险因素
  • Deportivo La Coruña averaged only 3.4 shots on target in recent matches
  • No historical head-to-head matches available in the dataset
  • Villarreal are still without a win after 3 matches this season
概述

Villarreal host Deportivo La Coruña at the Estadio de la Cerámica

La Liga match on September 5, 2026, 9:00 PM

Villarreal currently sit in 15th place with 2 points

Deportivo La Coruña arrive in 9th place with 5 points

The home side search for their first league victory of the season

近期状态

Villarreal show a form of LWDDL

Their last match ended in a 0-1 defeat against Deportivo Alavés

Deportivo La Coruña visit with a form of WLDDW

The visitors won 3-1 against Valencia in their last outing

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Villarreal average 1.89 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game

Their home stats show a strong 1.92 goals scored and only 0.76 conceded per game

Deportivo La Coruña concede an average of just 0.25 goals per away game

The visitors average 2.00 goals scored per game this season

Both teams scored in 24 out of 38 matches for the home side

关键球员

Gerard Moreno is a key attacker for Villarreal with 10 goals this season

Nicolas Pépé impresses with 8 goals and 8 assists this season

Ayoze Pérez has contributed 5 goals and 4 assists

Georges Mikautadze, Santi Comesaña, and Santiago Mouriño are not in the squad

Limited data available for Deportivo La Coruña players

门将

Luiz Júnior starts in goal for Villarreal with a season average rating of 6.93

Villarreal have kept 8 clean sheets so far this season

Leo Román is the goalkeeper for Deportivo La Coruña

The visitors have recorded 2 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio de la Cerámica

Stadium statistics show high-scoring matches with an average of 4.6 goals per game

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 of those home games

All 5 matches at this venue ended with over 2.5 goals

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