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La Liga

Elche - Real Sociedad

09/07/2026, 07:30 PM

2 : 3
预期进球
Elche
1.6
Total xG
2.7
Real Sociedad
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
ELCRS

Elche

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
-0.20
防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.14
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.12
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.12
Marc Aguado替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
David Affengruber未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
46%进球产出缺失 (仅58%可用)

Real Sociedad

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.24
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.18
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.74倍)
-0.13
Orri Óskarsson替补席 (9球, 0助攻)
Ander Barrenetxea替补席 (3球, 5助攻)
Takefusa Kubo替补席 (2球, 4助攻)
Beñat Turrientes替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
Jon Martín替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.6球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.47
+0.47
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

45%

平局

28%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

55%

非平局

72%

双方进球

56%

45%

关键因素
  • Mathematical trend: The model calculates a 45% probability of a home victory for Elche
  • Tactical activity: Real Sociedad averaged 5.0 shots on target in recent matches
  • Goal drought: According to advancedStats both Elche (1.0) and Real Sociedad (1.0) are currently struggling to score compared to their season averages
风险因素
  • Squad weakness for Elche: Marc Aguado and David Affengruber are missing, leaving only 59% of the seasonal goal threat available
  • Away vulnerability: Real Sociedad concedes an average of 2.14 goals per away game
概述

Elche versus Real Sociedad in La Liga

Match on September 7, 2026, 9:30 PM at the Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Elche is in 19th place with 1 point while Real Sociedad is 14th with 4 points

Both teams look to bounce back from a slow start to the season

近期状态

Elche's form is WDDLL across all competitions with a recent loss against Racing Santander

Real Sociedad holds a form of DLLWD with a recent draw against Celta de Vigo

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

According to advancedStats both teams show a negative form trend

统计数据

Elche scored 1.29 goals per game this season while conceding 1.50

Real Sociedad averaged 1.55 goals and conceded 1.61 goals

Elche recorded 8 clean sheets this season

Real Sociedad achieved 3 clean sheets this season

历史交锋

2 head-to-head matches in recent years

No home wins for Elche and 1 away win for Real Sociedad with 1 draw

The last encounter ended 3-1 for Real Sociedad on February 7, 2026

关键球员

Germán Valera has recorded 4 goals and 5 assists this season

Pedro Bigas contributes 1 goal and 3 assists with a rating of 6.87

Matías Dituro stands out with a seasonal average rating of 7.09

Mikel Oyarzabal is the biggest threat with 15 goals and 4 assists

Carlos Soler has achieved 4 goals and 3 assists this season

Sergio Gómez shines with 6 assists and a rating of 6.93

Not in the lineup for the visitors: Orri Óskarsson (9 goals), Ander Barrenetxea (3 goals, 5 assists), and Takefusa Kubo (2 goals, 4 assists)

门将

Matías Dituro has featured in 22 games this season

Unai Marrero played in only 1 match so far

Elche achieved 8 clean sheets while Real Sociedad has 3 clean sheets

影响因素

Home advantage is visible in Elche's home record with only 0.83 goals conceded per game

The Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero averages 2.8 goals per match

The game will be played on grass

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