La Liga
Athletic Club - Atlético de Madrid
09/05/2026, 02:15 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.5
1.0
1:1
14%1:0
11%0:0
10%2:0
9%2:1
9%xG 分解
Athletic Club
Atlético de Madrid
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
29%
客胜
24%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
76%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
50%
否
50%
关键因素
- Absence of Gorka Guruzeta weakens Athletic Club's attack with 10 goals and 3 assists
- Athletic Club averaged 5.2 shots on target per match in recent games
- Dominance in direct duels with 4 wins for Atlético de Madrid from the last 5 meetings
风险因素
- Atlético de Madrid concedes an average of 1.93 goals per away match
- Athletic Club concedes an average of 1.53 goals per game this season
概述
Athletic Club (13th place, 3 points) host Atlético de Madrid (4th place, 7 points) at San Mamés Barria
La Liga match on September 5, 2026, 4:15 PM
The home side looks to improve their start, while the visitors aim to stay near the top
近期状态
Athletic Club shows a form of DLLLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) with a recent 2-0 win against Celta de Vigo
Atlético de Madrid travels with a form of WLWDW after a recent 3-1 win against Sevilla
统计数据
Athletic Club scores 1.13 goals and concedes 1.53 on average per game this season
Atlético de Madrid averages 1.63 goals scored and 1.16 conceded
Away from home, Atlético de Madrid concedes an average of 1.93 goals per match
历史交锋
Out of the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético de Madrid won 4 and Athletic Club won 1
The last meeting ended in a 3-2 win for Atlético de Madrid on April 25, 2026
The total goal difference in these direct duels is 8-3 in favor of the away side
关键球员
Nico Williams contributes 6 goals and 3 assists for Athletic Club, while Robert Navarro adds 6 goals and 1 assist
Oihan Sancet supports Athletic Club's offense with 4 goals so far this season
For Atlético de Madrid, Giuliano Simeone registers 4 goals and 6 assists, Álex Baena has 2 goals and 3 assists, and Ademola Lookman has 4 goals
门将
Unai Simón starts for Athletic Club with an average rating of 6.78
Jan Oblak played 30 games for Atlético de Madrid with a 6.96 rating and kept 14 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Athletic Club concedes 1.11 goals on average at home
Matches on the grass of San Mamés Barria average 2.2 total goals
The mathematical model calculates a 47% probability for a home win