La Liga
Sevilla - Valencia
09/11/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.3
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
12%1:0
10%0:1
9%2:1
8%xG 分解
Sevilla
Valencia
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
37%
平局
32%
客胜
31%
进球数
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
69%
客胜或平局
63%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Mathematical models favor Sevilla as slight contenders with a 38% home win probability
- Both sides played highly counter-oriented recently with low possession and under 4 shots on target per match
- Valencia enters in poor form with three straight losses and has conceded 9 goals in the current campaign
风险因素
- Sevilla weakened by the absence of key offensive players including Oso and Peque Fernández
- Valencia's poor defensive record in away matches conceding an average of 2.00 goals
- Both teams field reduced squads with only 69% (Sevilla) and 75% (Valencia) of their usual starting strength
概述
Sevilla (7th place, 7 points) host Valencia (20th place, 1 point) at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
La Liga match on September 11, 2026, 7:00 PM
The hosts enter this match as favorites against the bottom-placed team
近期状态
Sevilla with form LWWLD showing two wins and two losses
Valencia in crisis with form WDLLL and three consecutive defeats
The home side secured seven points from their opening four matches
统计数据
Sevilla scores an average of 1.21 goals and concedes 1.58 goals
Valencia defense is highly vulnerable conceding 9 goals in 4 league games
Both teams scored in 22 out of 38 matches for Sevilla and 21 for Valencia
历史交锋
Historical advantage for Valencia with three wins from the last five meetings
Sevilla failed to win any of these five matches with two draws recorded
The last head-to-head encounter ended in a 0-2 away win for Valencia
关键球员
Isaac Romero with 4 goals this season and a rising form trend for Sevilla
Lucien Agoumé stabilizes the midfield with a solid average rating of 6.83
Javi Guerra guides Valencia's midfield with 4 goals and 6 assists in 36 appearances
门将
Odysseas Vlachodimos with 33 appearances and 3 home clean sheets for Sevilla
Stole Dimitrievski made 20 appearances keeping 5 clean sheets in away matches
影响因素
Home advantage at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán supports the favorites with avg 1.2 home goals
The venue sees a moderate average of 2.4 goals per match